Caribbean Hurricane Network - Updates from the Islands -
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2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season | Arthur | Bertha | Cristobal | Dolly | Edouard | Fay | Gonzalo | Hanna | Isaias | Josephine | Kyle | Leah | Marco | Nana | Omar | Paulette | Rene | Sally | Teddy | Vicky | Wilfred | Website sponsored by: Gobeach Vacations where stormCARIB began: Active Tropical Systems: None! Atlantic Hurricane Season is from June 1 - November 30 GOES Satellite - Zoomed in on the Caribbean (18:50 UTC, 14 minutes ago) Scale bar (lower right) is 250 miles. [more satellite imagery]. See storm-centered satellite image and loop in the tools section below (if available) Saturday, August 15, 2026 17:08PM EDT - Atlantic fizzle Good afternoon, Sorry for the late post but took family on a trip to the Everglades for a birthday airboat adventure with a few alligators and other wildlife in attendance and a big check off of my stepdaughters bucket list. Thought I could squeeze a post in last night but tired eyes were not willing. Anyway, looks like the formidable combo of wind shear and Saharan Dust were a deeply negative factor in the potential formation of 92L with 94L close behind getting the same treatment and hanging on by the proverbial thread. We also had short lived TS Cristobal in the central Atlantic who fit the criteria and that was/is his legacy, at least for the next 6 years. The dust may have been one thing but if not for the wind shear, our 92L/94L systems would probably have had 2 different outcomes by the time they reached the Greater and Lesser Antilles. The silver lining though is some beneficial rains will fall but definitely not enough to cure the drought across the islands at hand. Now, down the road though.....maybe a different, not so welcome scenario. As we trend into late August and the traditionally evil month of September, the African wave train is ramping up on cue. Several waves are making their way for a meeting with the Atlantic and the threats to their existence, while formidable, might not be impossible to overcome, obviously if circumstances come together which is a possibility. With this said, vigilance and preparedness are keys. Complacency is not. About 83% of the traditional Atlantic hurricane season remains. The most active part. There will always be a sneaky threat. Plus, again, homegrown as in the GOMEX/GOA and the east coast are ripe for the pickings with little time for last minute preparation and evacuation if necessary. Stay safe, prepared and ever vigilant. Dave Friday, August 14, 2026 10:30AM PDT - Heating up (a bit) Well, all of a sudden we have 3 systems, incl. one tropical storm. Tropical storm Cristobal was actually quite short lived, it formed Wednesday, in the northern Atlantic, away from any land, and became a remnant low yesterday morning. There are however two Invests in the Atlantic that are approaching the Caribbean islands. Yesterday they were looking a lot more impressive, and seemed certain to become the next named storm(s). Today it is a bit different. Invest 92L, about 400 miles east of the islands is getting battered now by upper-level wind shear and dry air, not conducive for strengthening. It sits quite low (south), and will move over the Barbados, St.Lucia, St.Vincent area tonight and tomorrow, bringing some heavy rains and gusty winds. I have just fixed the 'My Satellite" tool, it shows a satellite loop centered on your island of choice. There were some server problems with it that I was able to recently fix. Check it out here, if you are curious about the approaching storm. The other invest, 94L, is about 1000 miles east of the islands. That one still has a 50% chance to develop into something over the next 7 days. It also sits pretty low, but is expected to veer more to the north. Right now (still early to tell though) it looks like it might be located just north of the northeastern islands Wednesday/Thursday. Half of the models make it a tropical storm, just 1 a hurricane (see model spaghetti plots link above). Let's see how that one develops. Meanwhile in the Pacific, Tropical Storm Lala is heading towards Hawai'i. As it looks right now, the center of the storm will actually go just over the southern tip of the Big Island as a Category 1 hurricane on Saturday (see the Closest Point of Approach calculator this Pacific storm. The biggest worry will probably the torrential rain associated with this system (up to 24 inches on the east side of the island!). Stay safe everybody! -Gert ... Older discussions >> Current Tropical Weather Outlook (NHC/TPC): en Español Accompanying satellite image (pop-up, source: NHC) NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Kelly More detail in the Tropical Weather Discussion or view the Graphicast Image - - - Do you live in the Caribbean? - - - Join our team of special local hurricane correspondents.    stormCARIB is brought to you by GoBeach Vacations    - Your Accommodation Specialist for the Caribbean - stormCARIB is hosted at and supported by pairNetworks

Support stormCARIB -- Donations needed -- Latest local updates from the special hurricane correspondents on the islands: - Trinidad & Tobago [Aug 16 11:34] - St.Thomas [Aug 16 8:31] - Dominican Republic [Aug 15 17:54] - Dominica [Aug 15 8:19] - Turks & Caicos [Aug 15 8:00] - Antigua [Aug 15 7:07] - Nevis [Aug 12 9:27] - St.Croix [Aug 7 22:28] - Saba [Aug 4 17:44] - Bermuda [Jul 29 7:39] - St.Maarten/St.Martin [Jul 24 8:57] - Tortola & Virgin Gorda [Jul 21 7:38] - Jamaica [Jun 9 8:58] - Puerto Rico [Jun 6 16:04] - Haiti [Jun 2 15:13] Only reports received for this season are listed. See the archive for previous years. Links to excellent websites: - Navy/NRL Monterey - NOAA/NESDIS (floater loops) - RAMSDIS Imagery - Radar Composite - E-Carib. - Caribbean/Atl. buoy data - RT model guidance (RAL/NCAR) - STORM2K forum - Tracking Waves (McNoldy) - Radar Loops (McNoldy) - Tang/UAlbany (model tracks) - tropicaltidbits.com - PolarWX (Tomer Burg) - weathernerds.org (ensembles) - CIMSS/U.Wisc-Mad - Brammer/UAlbany - ECMWF Model Forecast - Jeff Masters Blog - Brian McNoldy Blog - Michael Lowry's Blog - zoom.earth hurricane tracker - more... Storm definitions by wind speed: - Tropical Depression <39mph - Tropical Storm 39-73mph - Cat.1 Hurricane 74-95mph - Cat.2 Hurricane 96-110mph - Cat.3 Hurricane 111-129mph - Cat.4 Hurricane 130-156mph - Cat.5 Hurricane >=157mph More info in the Practical Guide Wind force relative to Category 1: - Tropical Storm 39mph: 0.28x - Cat.1 Hurricane 74mph: 1x - Cat.2 Hurricane 96mph: 1.7x - Cat.3 Hurricane 111mph: 2.3x - Cat.4 Hurricane 130mph: 3.1x - Cat.5 Hurricane 157mph: 4.5x - Irma 185mph: 6.3x Damage potential relative to Cat 1: - Tropical Storm 39mph: 0.005x - Cat.1 Hurricane 74mph: 1x - Cat.2 Hurricane 96mph: 7.2x - Cat.3 Hurricane 111mph: 23x - Cat.4 Hurricane 130mph: 82x - Cat.5 Hurricane 157mph: 369x - Irma 185mph: 1372x

The local hurricane correspondents are the heart and soul of stormCARIB. They are the people who live on the island and write to us what is going on around them. First hand very local personal reports instead of very limited or sensationalized coverage by the general media. Do you live on one of the islands? We need your help! We are looking for more people who are interested in sending us a few paragraphs about the situation on your island before, during and after a storm hits. You don't need to be a weatherman or expert on the subject, just share with us what you know, feel and see on your island. Your help will be really appreciated by Caribbean people living abroad with family living on the islands, future visitors who have their Caribbean dream-vacation booked, etc.etc. Reliable, not-sensationalized information is just so hard to get in crisis situations. Help keep the rest of the world up-to-date with what is really happening! We really need you, Georges back in 1998, and many others since then are proof! If interested, contact gert@gobeach.com.

WHAT TO FIND ON StormCARIB.com:
This website is all about the Caribbean. Here you can find information, weather discussions and local reports regarding tropical systems threatening the Caribbean islands. A central part of this website is the volunteer network of special local hurricane correspondents, living on the islands, who will report, when need be, on how it looks and feels like around them. Above also hopefully easy to understand weather discussions by me and Dave. In addition, as an aid in locating family or friends on the islands in an emergency situation you can post your 'plea for help' on the bulletin board. Also featured on this website is the Quick Hurricane Web Resource Navigator, for easy locating to the least overloaded webserver for National Hurricane Center advisories and the latest satellite images. Another part of the Caribbean Hurricane Network is the 'practical guide' to hurricane tracking with unit conversions, definitions, tips, links, etc. You can also find out how close the storm is and how many hours you have left to prepare plus you can map the closest point of approach of a hurricane to your location. New is the climatology of Caribbean hurricanes section. Find out when the real peak of hurricane season is for individual islands, view hurricane tracks passing by the islands over the last 150+ years. An archive with detailed reports of how the Caribbean islands fared during the 2007, 2006, 2005, 2004 (incl. Frances and Ivan), 2003, 2002, 2001, 2000, 1999 (incl. Floyd and Lenny), 1998 (incl. Georges and Mitch), 1997 and 1996 seasons are still available as well. Plus there is more, like storm-centered satellite images, make your own local satellite loop, etc. Hope you find the information on this website (now counting over thousands pages with original content) helpful. Comments always welcome! RSS web feed available. As a side note I am now accepting donations as well. Thanks for visiting!

Maintained & moderated by: Gert van Dijken (gert@gobeach.com).
Weather discussions also by Dave McDermott, St.Thomas, USVI.

Disclaimer
The information on these pages is derived from weather statements provided by the National Weather Service, the National Hurricane Center, and others, and from hurricane correspondents in the Caribbean. I tried to translate the official weather statements in more layman's terms. Also, I tried to fill the gap in reporting on what is happening in the Caribbean, instead of the US (there are already many other good website which focus on the US). Keep in mind that my statements are my own interpretations from the information available to me. Therefore, use the information at your own risk, and above all, don't use these webpages for making life-or-death decisions, always rely on the official and qualified authorities! Accuracy of eye-witness reports by the special hurricane correspondents have not been checked. They may be highly subjective. The author can not be held responsible for lost property, ruined vacations and the like. Despite all this I hope you found the webpage informative and useful. These pages do not have a commercial intent. GoBeach Vacations provided the means and opportunity to start all this. 'Unfortunately' this website has become too popular, placing too much load on the gobeach.com webservers. Luckily, starting in 2000, my excellent webhost provider, pairNetworks, liked my website so much that they support services whenever they can. Comments are always welcome. Just send a note to gert@gobeach.com. Gert