Remnants of Eleven

- as issued by NHC/TPC -

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Public Advisory:

Remnants Of Eleven Advisory Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL112018
1100 AM AST Sun Sep 23 2018

...DEPRESSION DEGENERATES INTO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.5N 56.0W
ABOUT 350 MI...565 KM ENE OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the remnants of Tropical Depression
Eleven were located near latitude 14.5 North, longitude 56.0 West.
The remnants are moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h).

Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Additional weakening is expected over the next day or so.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.  Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available
on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

$$
Forecaster Avila


Aviso Público:

Depresion Tropical Once Advertencia Numero   6
SNM Centro Nacional de Huracanes Miami FL       AL112018
Traduccion por el Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR 
500 AM AST domingo 23 de septiembre de 2018

...SE ESPERA QUE LA DEPRESION POBREMENTE ORGANIZADA SE DISIPE
PRONTO...


RESUMEN DE LA INFORMACION DE LAS 500 AM AST..0900 UTC
------------------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACION...14.5 NORTE 55.0 OESTE 
CERCA DE 415 MI...670 KM AL ESTE DE LAS ISLAS DE BARLOVENTO 
VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...30 MPH...45 KM/H 
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...NOROESTE O 315 GRADOS A 6 MPH...9 KM/H 
PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA...1009 MILIBARES...29.80 PULGADAS   


VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------    
No hay vigilancias o avisos costeros en efecto.


DISCUSION Y PRONOSTICO 
----------------------
A las 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), el centro de la Depresion Tropical Once 
estaba localizado cerca de la latitud 14.5 norte, y longitud 55.0 oeste.
La depresion se esta moviendo hacia el noroeste a cerca de 6 mph (9 
km/h). Se espera un movimiento lento hacia el oeste noroeste a noroeste
hasta que el sistema se disipe en un dia mas o menos.

Los vientos maximos se encuentran cerca de 30 mph (45 km/h) con 
rafagas mas fuertes. Se espera que la depresion se disipe para
esta noche.

La presion minima central de superficie estimada es de de 1009 mb 
(29.80 pulgadas).


PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA 
-------------------------
Ninguno


PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA 
-------------------
Proxima advertencia completa a las 1100 AM AST.


Discussion:
TCDAT1  
  
Remnants Of Eleven Discussion Number   7  
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL112018  
1100 AM AST Sun Sep 23 2018  
  
Visible images show that the depression has degenerated into a  
trough of low pressure accompanied by a few showers.  This  
disturbance is moving westward toward an even more hostile  
shear environment, and regeneration is not anticipated.  
  
This is the last NHC advisory on this system.  
  
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS  
  
INIT  23/1500Z 14.5N  56.0W   20 KT  25 MPH  TD
 12H  24/0000Z...DISSIPATED  
  
$$  
Forecaster Avila
Note: Storm classification added by stormcarib.com
TD=TROPICAL DEPRESSION; TS=TROPICAL STORM; CAT-1=CATEGORY-1 HURRICANE...


Wind Speed:
PWSAT1
                                                                    
REMNANTS OF ELEVEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112018               
1500 UTC SUN SEP 23 2018                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE REMNANTS OF ELEVEN WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5     
NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 20 KTS
...25 MPH...35 KM/H.                                                
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
 
...THERE IS NO OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR THIS DATE/TIME...
AND THEREFORE NO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES CAN BE CALCULATED...
 
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    


Forecast/Advisory:

REMNANTS OF ELEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112018
1500 UTC SUN SEP 23 2018

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  56.0W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  20 KT WITH GUSTS TO  30 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  56.0W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  55.5W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N  56.0W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


$$
FORECASTER AVILA


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