Caribbean Hurricane Network

Active Tropical Systems: None!
Atlantic Hurricane Season is from June 1 - November 30

GOES-13 Satellite - Zoomed in on the Caribbean (05:15 UTC, 56 minutes ago)
Vertical gridlines 10° or about 650 miles (~1050 km) apart. [more satellite imagery].

Wednesday, January 11, 2012 16:35PM PST - Good news from Haiti

Normally news from Haiti is bad, but I read an article in the Miami Herald by the head of US AID titled "Haiti 'a country undeniably on the move'" that sounded really positive. Although there are still about half a million people in makeshift tents, things seem to get better, arguably even better than before the quake. Often people focus on the negative, this is a nice change. -Gert

Saturday, December 31, 2011 21:19PM EST - 2012

Happy New Year to all! May Mother Nature turn all of our 2012 storms into fish storms!!!

Thursday, December 1, 2011 08:19AM PST - Another season over

Although we still have an Invest out there, Hurricane Season is officially over. There were a lot of tropical storms, with a total of nineteen, it tied for the third busiest season for tropical storms. But just a few of these made it to hurricane strength. Luckily for us in the Caribbean it turned out to be a pretty good season. Some notable ones for us were Emily, Irene, and Rina. And although a lot of storms seems to be attracted to Bermuda this year, they dodged the bullet each time!

A big thank you of course to all the special hurricane correspondents who again volunteered their time and effort this season on keeping us up to date on what is really happening on the islands! -Gert

Thursday, November 24, 2011 06:56AM EST - Tammy who?

Good morning!!

Happy Thanksgiving to all who observe this holiday!

It's been quiet in the Atlantic as it should be while former Cat 4 hurricane Kenneth has set a record in the E. Pacific as the strongest hurricane at 145 mph this late in that areas season. No threat to land, he is dying just as fast as he rose.

However, it looks like we might have something late ourselves next week in the form of a named storm in the southern Caribbean north of Colombia as the global computer models are starting to come to a consensus. The next name is Tammy. Current long range forecast (and we all know what to think of those) has this developed system wandering aimlessly before finally making a beeline for Central America. Not good anytime and especially not good for the holidays.

As noted by Puerto Rico and having been through Georges, Omar and the infamous "Wrong Way Lenny", the possibility does exist, if developments occur as projected and a tropical system forms, it could travel our way. Not like it hasn't happened before as noted above.

Either way, a significant rainfall event is forecast with high confidence to occur over Eastern Puerto Rico, the USVI and BVI's Saturday night through Monday night. The every couple of years "around Thanksgiving deluge" may be coming together.

Dave

Thursday, November 17, 2011 15:05PM EST - last minute system?

Good afternoon!

 

Late season tornadoes, snow in the Northwest, a weak El Nina in the Pacific and a possibility of one last tropical system spinning up both in the Atlantic and E. Pacific basins make for weather potpourri for 500 Alex!. For the E. Pacific, its a really late possibility even though the EPAC season also ends Nov. 30th.

 

Meanwhile, off to our east is a trough which appears to be slowly trying to form a surface low to the northwest of the islands. This trough is having a rough go as wind shear is kicking its butt so development will be slow if at all. Low level moisture continues to be "pieced" from it though as evidenced by the quickly moving scattered showers that have been prevalent most of today across the northern islands. Good thing that trough is where it is though as if it was to sit on us, major flooding would have been problematic.

 

Happy Thanksgiving to all who celebrate it and Seasons Greetings to all!!

 

Dave

Thursday, November 10, 2011 20:13PM PST - Sean closing in on Bermuda

Sean is now a tropical storm packing winds of 65 mph. The center of Sean is expected to pass about 90 miles to the north of Bermuda tomorrow morning (see closest point of approach tool), and is therefore under a tropical storm watch. Tropical storm force winds actually extend outward of the center about 255 miles, well within reach of the Rock. For people on Bermuda, the strongest winds are on the eastern side, so once the center has passed it won't get any worse. I am confident that Bermuda can weather a storm like this very well, but still stay safe! -Gert

Tuesday, November 8, 2011 09:25AM PST - Sub-tropical storm Sean

It's not over yet! The nineteenth named storm of the season formed between Bermuda and the Bahamas. Right now the closest point of approach for Bermuda is just 100 miles to the north on Friday morning. The current advisories show that it should still be 'just' a tropical storm by then. Sean is a 'sub-tropical storm', the main difference with a normal 'tropical storm' is that most of the high winds and heavy rain is at least 100 miles removed from the center. Once the winds and thunderstorm activity gets more 'focused' around the center it becomes a tropical storm, which is expected to happen with Sean soon. Stay safe! -Gert

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