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- Welcome Rain
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 20 Jul 2016 01:57:47 -0400
Hi everyone,

What a relief!
Some welcome rain is going to affect the 
entire Eastern Caribbean (and soon)!

For most it will be more than a 24 hour event!

My take, (bottom-line of preparation),
is that there is 13% - 33% chance
It may either slow down,
Dip south, (meaning westward),
or linger to become something more substantive.

It's all in the run of things 
as this one is the most northerly so far.

God Bless

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- Rain Rain and More Rain
  • By Stephen Abouhamad <stephen_abouhamad at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 16 Jul 2016 06:10:21 +0000

Good Morning to all,

As I sit at home enjoying the temperature of the atmosphere I reflect on the amount of rain that I witnessed first hand today at work. I left home yesterday in rain, I got soaked at work in the rain and I made my way home during the rain tonight. Today in Trinidad we had rain throughout the country with flash flooding being recorded in the South and Central districts. Most of our flights at the airport were delayed due to the weather conditions which hampered our operations.

Looking at the upcoming weather we are seeing that the ITCZ has dipped back south so weather conditions should settle over the next few hours. Below are a few pictures of the flooding in Trinidad.

Regards,

S Abouhamad




- Protracted Precipitation, .....
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 15 Jul 2016 06:03:43 -0400
Hi everyone,

Trinidad (and Tobago), had rain consistently for the last two days.
Just nice refreshing rain that will make some envious.

However, today and tomorrow, the weather pattern 
may prove to be more hazardous than beneficial.

All possible factors taken into account.

God bless

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- HEAVY RAIN IN TRINIDAD
  • By Stephen Abouhamad <stephen_abouhamad at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 15 Jul 2016 00:59:40 +0000

TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO

14/7/16



Good Evening to all readers of StormCarib. Well today was a day of rain in Trinidad. Early morning rain that was caused by the ITCZ which climbed north this morning. This heavy rainfall caused flooding in some areas.



Regards,

S Abouhamad



- Rainy Season
  • By Stephen Abouhamad <stephen_abouhamad at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 12 Jul 2016 19:51:25 +0000

Trinidad and Tobago

12/07/16



Good afternoon to all the readers of StormCarib. The rainy season is here and i am loving it. Love the sound of rain falling of the roof top as it brings a well deserved cool from the day time heating. Hope you all are getting all those hurricane supplies in order as a precaution. We gotta be ready for any threat that comes our way this year. Ensure that all water courses are cleared of all garbage cause some of these day time showers can be pretty heavy. You all be safe and enjoy.

Regards,

S Abouhamad


- Upper level vs. Lower level Circulation, and DUST !
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 9 Jul 2016 18:56:57 -0400
Good Day,
My fair friends of Paradise,

Apparently in my last post I panicked over upper-level winds.
Not so apparent (to me) was the circular motion was not precipitation.
Can I hear it, for Sahara Dust!

Having gotten over that apology,
I repost NHC so there is no mistake but support.

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 45W, from 16N-05N,
moving westward at 20 knots. Broad inverted troughing at 700 mb
is noted along 50W. Abundant Saharan dust and dry air continues
to surround this wave. Isolated moderate convection is from 10N-
12N between 43W-48W.  

As Isabel said the wave tonight and tomorrow early is two part 
and we have the first (broken up once again by SAL) over us now 
and should have but did not give the Leewards precipitation.

This wave is not hazardous and if it was it's moving too fast to be !

Pray for China,

Thanks,
God bless


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- I don't Understand !
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 3 Jul 2016 08:41:42 -0400
P/Vly, D'go M'rtn,
T'dad. & T'bgo.
Eastern Caribbean
2016-07-03rd. Sun.
08:35 a.m.

People of Paradise,

I would love to bow out to this one.
I really would.
For the simple reason I can't understand.
Secondly nobody else is saying anything!
It will affect others more than T & T.

I ask you have I ever been one to be 'negligent'?

Inserted in this post is a link to make obvious, the obvious, ...


I really don't understand??

God Bless
(Put on YOUR Boots !)

- Surviving, close-knit and Formative system 12 - 36 hrs.
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 1 Jul 2016 05:31:42 -0400
Good morning, good day, good night,
Fair Friends of Paradise,

The weather one person remarked was 'heavenly'.
First time in the rainy season, for over a week,
for the last three years, have we seen 
such 'heavenly' weather with a prospect to continue.

Almost everybody is going to Tobago, the sister isle,
to enjoy the vacation. (The Recession Vacation) ?
Cool dawn periods, midday  breezes, dry afternoon and 
night time highways, always reminded practically everyday,
with a short burst of heavy rain, that we are in the rainy season.

'Paradise' !

(Good for servicing property, plant and equipment).

The dry-air (SAL) has been omnipresent!!
Not even 'The La Nina' wind shear can compete.
Our sentiments and actual support go out to drier territories.

In the midst of all this dry air and fine weather is an approaching system.
Rather, not a system but a formative system. (12 hrs. away).
I can see why they say the Western Caribbean after July 5th 
may have some activity. This one is a 'fighter'.

Now let me see how much colors I can spot in the sky during sunrise.
While the birds sing me back to sleep.

God Bless

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- Simple but Heavy Convection
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 22 Jun 2016 03:54:31 -0400
Good Day, Good Night,
Fair Weather Friends
People of Paradise,

That wasn't all that bad, was it?
In addition, it is the reason we can have the beautiful
flora and fauna we have on a perennial basis.

For south Trinidad in particular, 
we can expect localized heavy convection today.
This will widen and spread to the possibility of 
flash flooding in 12 - 36 hours. Not only down south 
but up north, then to islands north of Trinidad and Tobago.

Nothing cyclonic about it! Just simple convection, ....

Attached is the north breakaway from what was over us and
another of the imminent convection.

Exercise caution in marine waters.

God Bless


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- Minor Impact - Ongoing - Peaking 12 - 24 hrs. -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 19 Jun 2016 02:55:15 -0400
Happy Father's Day,
People of Paradise,

For the Eastern Caribbean, (not just T&T),

There is an area of precipitation that started yesterday 
and runs from Trinidad to Guadeloupe 
and moving further north. 
The moisture mass has it's main axis 12 hrs. away.
Both the facts that,
Wind shear yesterday continued to dissipate it.
and,
The axis exited the ITCZ after 50 W. Longitude.
mean,
"There's absolutely no reason this should  be a mortal threat."
Just like the weather, seas are manageable if you exercise caution.

It is still early and this is a slow moving system,
so it is not advisable to let our guards down till Tuesday morning.

Now to enjoy Father's day, 
children are the most precious, rewarding and spiritually uplifting
thing that God has allowed us to procreate, ....

God Bless



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- Precautions in Place, for next 4 - 5 days time, ...
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 15 Jun 2016 20:28:16 -0400
People of Paradise,

We have the following in NHC words not mine.

How you react and what you do is 
'Do a dry run and prepare! (and Pray)!'
It is not 'Paranoia'.

My forecast is The eastern Caribbean 
will have some sort of moderate to heavy 
Impact in 4 - 5 days.

...TROPICAL WAVES... 

Tropical wave in the east Tropical Atlantic extends along 26W
from 2N-10N moving west 20 TO 25 kt over the past 24 hours. Wave
coincides with a 700 mb trough noted in the global models and is
embedded within a surge of moisture as seen on the SSMI Total
Precipitable Water imagery. Isolated moderate convection is from
1N-6N between 26W-32W. 

Tropical wave in the central Tropical Atlantic extends from
12N43W to 5N47W moving west near 15 kt over the past 24 hours.
Wave coincides with a low amplitude 700 mb trough noted in the
global models and a surge of moisture as seen on the SSMI Total
Precipitable Water imagery. No associated deep convection. 

Tropical wave is inland over South America along 70W moving west
near 25 kt over the past 24 hours. Wave coincides with a weak
surge of moisture as seen on the SSMI Total Precipitable Water
imagery. No associated deep convection in the Caribbean waters.

Tropical wave in the western Caribbean extends along 82W/83W
south of 15N across Panama into the east Pacific region moving
west near 15 kt over the past 24 hours. Wave coincides with a
700 mb trough noted in the global models and is embedded within
a broad area of moisture as seen on the SSMI Total Precipitable
Water imagery. Scattered moderate to strong convection is south
of 16N west of 82W to inland over Central America.

God Bless




- Safe and Sound
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 3 Jun 2016 16:08:57 -0400
Hi, good people of Paradise,

Attached is my unexaggerated view of the start of 'Wet Season' 2016.

Also, a few pics of my sister's craft 'Exody'
at a family get-together in New York
after circumnavigating the tropical world
on their way back home to Scotland.

Everything is safe and sound and
we can expect 3 - 4 quiet pleasant days
if not 5 - 7 , (at least in this neck of the waters).

God Bless
and 
Thanks

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- Rally, ... !
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 26 May 2016 15:46:36 -0400
Let's say a prayer of reprieve,
for The Bahamas,
recovering from last year.

(North, South Carolina and Georgia).

God Bless !

- Reprieve - 36 hrs.
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 16 May 2016 11:55:37 -0400
Good Day, Good Everything, People of Paradise,

The branches of the vine never gets more than it could bear.
In like manner, we have a 36 hour reprieve before 
something similar to the last three days reoccur.

Listen, I really don't want to know if I am right or whatever?
Because it's not for money or to help me personally.
And I think you should do the same.

We have enough trouble procuring tools and equipment
and keeping them working. So let's work on that instead.

God Bless


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- Consistent Convection
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 12 May 2016 03:20:42 -0400
Good Day, Good Everything, People of Paradise

One can safely say,

"Today is a day to take out your boots."

God Bless

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- First True Event
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 7 May 2016 08:10:58 -0400
People of Paradise,

Within a few hours, specially for Trinidad and Tobago first of all,
We will have a system that resembles the rainy season of June 
and July and August.

The good part is it will be short - lived.
That is the intensity will be short-lived.

Reason: This one will have breeze at times below 32 mph.
And seas will be un-friendly.

The above forecast is over 50% probable and endorsed by others.
Less forecasted and could prove dangerous,
is if after initial impact it spreads and lingers.
This is hardly likely !

God bless


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