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- Note and Recall, ...
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 9 Sep 2014 05:34:03 -0400
P/Vly, D'go Martin, T'dad & T'bgo, W.I.
Tuesday 09th September 05:00 a.m.

Good Morning, Good Day, People of Paradise,

The iguana and its babies have not appeared for me to share any further pics.
I wonder if its afraid of the kitten that is now a bob-cat.
(Or the dog with three-legs.)
Anyway those of us I share my thoughts with before writing,
would like you to interpret three factors in the attached images:
- SAL (dry air) Latitude and Longitude.
- Southerliness of High Barometric Pressure and The ITCZ (moisture).
- The pattern of the last three tropical waves and a couple before that.

(By the way and at the same time the actual Bahamas 
seem to be having a tough go this season.)

working backwards for your edification and awareness:-

After a storm:
1. It's the worst part.
2. There is no cooked food (for many reasons).
3. Water and Waste is a big, big problem.
There may be a state of emergency which means 
life and death situations where trained people are risking their life for others.

During a storm:
1. A storm is a long drawn out normally three day occurrence.
2. When it stops it's not finished.
3. There will be optimists and pessimists feeding information.
Listen only to easily identifiable authority. Don't panic, ask for help.

Before the storm:
1. There is no escape. 
2. Don't try to outsmart it.
3. Authorities will give clearly defined Procedures to
Prepare, Plan, and Preserve all Property and Persons.

It only takes one.
God bless!

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- Happy 52nd. Independence Anniversary T&T.
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 31 Aug 2014 20:33:28 -0400
Happy Independence T&T.,
We worked and played together for it!
Remember: "Freedom is also a consequence of our actions, ..."

2014 - 08 - 31st. Sun. 20:00 (8:00) p.m.
P/Vly, D'go M'rtn, Trinidad & Tobago, W.I.

I would like to thank God, Dr. Jeff Masters, Steve Gregory, 
Dave and Gert, specially to name a few life-savers 
in the Tropical scheme of things. I was not on hiatus and
my daughter says the word does not truly exist.
"It's another stupid modern invention."

The bottom - line for rain, ..., for T'dad.
Weather patterns are forming 1) at 53 W. that has 
a possibly cyclonic tail at 42 W. With little wind shear and dry air.
BUT, moving about 22 - 25 mph. due west at 10 N. Latitude.
Which in the long-term (if I were to write in red) is a direct hit.
2) Weather patterns are forming in the Orinoco and south-T'dad.
(Normally a three and a half day occurrence.)
3) Whenever that is since global warming, there is a genuinely 
Gulf of Mexico storm, a blob slows down and stops 300 - 500 miles 
west from St. Vincent, becomes an unnamed depression off Martinique,
and leaves Dominica and Guadeloupe as a named storm.

I leave a panoramic view of all the above coming tonight or in 36 hrs.

"There was a lecturer in my under-graduate studies 
that kept looking up to me and say, 'If you fail to prepare,
Prepare to fail.' Plan your work and your plan will work."

God bless

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- One can't envy weather men now, ...
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 29 Aug 2014 05:40:59 -0400
2014-08-29th. Friday 05:10 a.m.
T & T., W.I.

People of Paradise,

Just as two tropical waves slipped thru the cracks in SAL (dry-air)
and the first becoming Cristobal. There is another that 
for the definition of weather time 'is upon us'. That is not just the 
southern Windwards. But the Eastern Caribbean.

Before, due to weariness, we panic, it's in no way 'life-threatening'.

But once again there is unity and a universality in dealing with this 
season's events and like the weather reports say for T'dad & T'bgo today,
there is a 100% chance of thunderstorms.

The one in Texas in loops available this morning before the forecasts
suggest a modest chance of becoming a depression while inland.

Between what we have now and 'Cristobal', the one that just passed us.
One prays that it bites the dust, (but is an extremely weird one).

N o w , ..., the one at approx. 35 W. Longitude. I am going 
when I drop my keyboard typing to fast and pray. And take steps to be 
vigilant, very vigilant. You may not hear from me as I will be doing the above.

God bless

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- Bertha's brief glance
  • From: Christine Westmaas <chrisalis1003 at yahoo.co.uk>
  • Date: Sat, 2 Aug 2014 04:05:03 +0100
The rain cleared up by the early afternoon and tonight is quiet and dry.  There was some flooding in Debe, an area south of here.  The pictures taken by a motorist show that it was very bad in parts and that both homes and small business places suffered from the flood waters.  Work on the highway extension to Point Fortin is being blamed for at least some of the flooding in Debe but this is still speculation and has to be confirmed.
I hope that Bertha brings only blessed water to the parched islands and that there will be no serious damage or destruction and certainly no injury or death.

- Tropical Wave reaches southern Windwards
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 26 Aug 2014 16:58:08 -0400
2014-08-26th. Tue. 4:45 p.m.
P/Vly, D'go Martin, T'dad & T'bgo, W.I.

We are a little under the weather with a flu and elections coming and a new era of youth involvement that needs the steadying hand of the older and wiser, (God forbid!). I love to read and research (besides entertaining in my home) and this is a time for not only that but producing literary work.

- The Sahara Dust is coming back.
- Most model guidance heads the circulating tail of this tropical wave north of The Leewards or dismiss it totally. (Quite a probable fish - wave- )?
However it has reached T'dad & T'bgo and is nothing more than 'more than one rain shower a day'.
I really, really don't know but I suspect that there is quite a shift in coastal sea temps hence the seas are generally going to get worse until after Winter. Winds as I said are not mentionable.

But then again, who am I to know.
Back to research, ...

God bless

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- Psycho, ..., I mean Cyclogenesis today? (tee hee)
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 22 Aug 2014 07:29:41 -0400
It is highly likely it will become a depression at minimum today.

Let's thank God, (so far), 

Thank You, Lord

- The following pertains to all interests, ...
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2014 01:29:04 -0400
Results for Barbados (13.07N, 59.48W):
The eye of the storm is about 302 miles (486 km) away. If the system keeps moving at its current speed of 17.5 mph and directly towards you, it will take around 17.3 hours* to reach you. Given the current windfield (175 miles from the center), tropical storm winds will be felt in 7.3 hours.

This is a rough guide to:


- In God We Trust
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 21 Aug 2014 00:39:12 -0400
Only one good news:

The first one has more or less gone, bah, bye!

On the other hand:
It's extremely hot and humid.
The first one had notable wind in the sideways drizzle.
The first one is feeding moisture to what seems very, very cyclonic.
Moozies are killing us.

Once we leave it to God we will get thru this one.

Standing by

- 12 - 72 hrs. - Medium IMPACT - 12 - 72 HRS.
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 19 Aug 2014 19:16:49 -0400
2014-08-19TH. Tues. 18:50 (6:50) p.m.
P/Vly, D'go Martin, T'dad & T'bgo, W.I.

People of Paradise,
Pray, Plan, Prepare and Procure, ..., Persons and Property,
cause we are going to enjoy Impact from tonight in Trinidad.
Even though Moderate, it will strengthen and procrastinate.

For Tobago, Grenada and further north, ..., expect:
Later impact,
Three (3.0) inches of rain over approx. 3 days,
Winds gusting to 25 - 27 mph.,
Seas (not - friendly).

For St. Lucia, Barbados, Dominica,
expect either double impact or the worst of them. 
(The 2 of them.) Possible depressions on impact?

For The Leewards, VI's, and antillean dependencies,
expect one impact but the worse one. 
(Look at the model guidance, ...)

They are not going to be life-threatening unless 
in the midst of the first one we lose our cool.

There are plenty people willing, able and equipped to help
and stand by for free for these occurrences, ...

God bless

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- Learning Lesson - Waves vs Cyclones
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 18 Aug 2014 06:42:14 -0400
Whatever the outcome,
we can learn for the future from 94L.
Because i'm convinced I know nothing at all about anything.
So I pray and leave it to God.

94L exited Cuba, between Florida and Cuba.
And the point I made at the beginning of the season that I am watching for;
Is not Sahara Dust,
Wind-Shear & Warm Water, ...

Excuse me if I am wrong but former 94L 
is in the warmest waters of the tropical Atlantic now.
Follow it and see if you agree, ...

God bless

Ps. Which by the way is an antidote for climate change.

- One to watch, ..., (actually three to watch).
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 16 Aug 2014 03:34:40 -0400
(Sorry if I sound dramatic.)

This tropical wave that is former 94L was re-positioned by NHC, quite rightly so 
because its axis passed over Grenada exactly 24 hrs. earlier ie. 10:30 p.m. Friday.
Because of its southerly nature South America absorbed the danger out of the hazard.
My gut feeling is the separation northwards will reactivate north of the islands 
what we call Bahamas. It flooded in Port of Spain and the lightning was terrible.

All this will ease tonight (Saturday night) by early tomorrow morning (Sunday morning).

There is going to be alot of sunshine during the early part of next week and quite humid.
Then two tropical blobs with circulation will touchdown.
As what, we don't know.

It only takes one.

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- Be Prepared!!
  • From: Stephen Abouhamad <stephen_abouhamad at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 14 Aug 2014 00:43:59 +0000
Trinidad and Tobago

Good Night. Its has been a while since I posted on this network. Seems like something is about to give in the next couple of weeks of the hurricane season. Trust that everyone will be prepared. Bye for now.
Michael Abouhamad

- An ill wind blows no good
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 13 Aug 2014 17:26:25 -0400
2014 - 08 - -13th. Wed. 17:05 (5:05) p.m.
Trinidad & Tobago, West Indies

Good afternoon, People of Paradise,

Trinidad, Tobago and Grenada had two tropical blobs pass thru within the last 7 days.
Another one is passing tonight and tomorrow.
Rainfall was non-significant, waves were not dangerous, and what I want to talk about, ....

Winds are coming from the ESE at period gusts fairly sustained at 12 - 17 mph.
By now this everybody knows is a bad sign.
When overcast, the clouds are about 1,200 - 1,500 ft. with even higher tops.
Colossal rain clouds travelling (from experience) at over 35 mph. (But no significant rain.)
Typical hurricane weather in the 60's and 70's.
Besides my arthritis and daughter's hay-fever have acted up within the estimated time of arrival.

Former 94L center or axis is estimated by using stormcarib.com tools to arrive 10:30 p.m. Saturday night!
I am postulating that we are already feeling its formulative effects.

My dearest brother out of a family of 5 children lives in Florida as well as alot of my friends.
I am very inclined to say whatever happens in the Caribbean, The High-Pressure Gradient might just drive 
former 94L straight into south-eastern USA. HOPEFULLY, (as in the West Indies) WITH NO CONSEQUENCES.
Then again who knows where the sun goes when it disappears.

Prepare, plan, pray and procure,
God bless

- Paradise
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 9 Aug 2014 08:56:54 -0400
2014 - 08 - 09th. Sat. 8:05 a.m.

Good Day, Good Everything, People of Paradise,

I am learning more and more about SAL (dry-air) as well as how much more
I don't know.

Hopefully this week-end is going to be perfect for sport and marine activity.
As I said i'm beginning to understand the effect dry-air has on tropical waves and storms.

This might sound ridiculous, but Carnival bands are launching this holidays
and it's not to early to book your costumes and tickets.
ie. for Trinidad & Tobago Carnival 2015, ...

Unity is greater than the sum of the parts.

God bless.

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- Housekeeping update, ...
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 6 Aug 2014 17:36:02 -0400
Port of Spain and Diego Martin had rain for practically the whole time during daylight today.
Why i'm writing is because they will have more of the same for at least tonight and tomorrow.
The rest of the Lesser Antilles has SAL inhibiting convection. (For the time being, ...)

God bless

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- "Water, wonderful water, ..., not a woe."
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 5 Aug 2014 05:47:02 -0400
2014-08-05th. Tue. 5:25 a.m.
P/Vly, D'go, T'dad & T'bgo, W.I.

To all readers, researchers, writers of Paradise,
excuse me for saying so but this is not the extreme and 
exaggerated weather we have been getting in the 21st. century so far,
but mind my saying so,  "a normal hurricane season".
What it was like when I was a kid learning geography.

Ok, ...
There has always been a blob, 'cept not visible, until this morning off Barbados.
It (the not visible part) has arrived already to T'dad & T'bgo and will continue.
For my normal geographical triangle, the two bad news are;
It's diameter - & - it's closeness.
Good News:
There is no circulation, no high winds as yet or when it touches down,
waves are below 7 ft. and it's moving fast. (But due west.)

My take,
What could have been a three day depression because of SAL 
is between 1/2" - 1 1/2" ins. of rain and scatterd thunder showers 
for a day and a half. (Depending on the island.) My take.

Two other items are, 'They gave their all, ( including their lifes),
so that our loved ones can live in the Peace we enjoy. Never, ever forget them
and may their souls rest in P e a c e. 

Pray for the less fortunate caught up in disasters, natural or otherwise.

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- After- Mat(hematics)
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 2 Aug 2014 03:41:52 -0400
Very solemn and sleepy but my inner seventh sense told me to post this.

This is the bottom of the scale and we - have to - work ourselves above this.

Flood-possible rain will continue.
Predominantly hot and humid.
Guard against infectious diseases and dehydration.
Seas rough at times. Squalls possible in gusts.

Geez, I hope i'm not to tired to fall asleep immediately. (tee hee)

God bless in co-existing brotherhood

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- Axis, Centre, Eye - Land-Fall, ....
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 1 Aug 2014 20:22:06 -0400
May God preserve life and limb, ..., Amen

Between 4:00 p.m. and 7:30 p.m. the high-end storm 'Berta' made landfall.
First west and north in Martinique then straight over Dominica, the entire island of Dominica.
What appears to be a somewhat protected eye is forming 40 - 75 miles north-west of Dominica, south-west of Guadeloupe.
That's all I observed.

Save to say,
It's storm area is not much less 200 miles.
It's diameter stretches from Trinidad to way past Anguilla.
With a eastern side that has no keep-back from delivering a blow.

In other words landfall, lay low !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Whole night !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Pray, Plan, Prepare and Procure
in the Name of God.

- More rain!
  • From: Christine Westmaas <chrisalis1003 at yahoo.co.uk>
  • Date: Fri, 01 Aug 2014 13:35:12 -0400
The rain is coming down in torrents now and we are having more lightning and 
thunder than before. Bertha obviously didn't want Trinidad and Tobago to be 
left out! We need the rain as we, too, have not had enough rainfall to meet the 
needs of our reservoirs. As has been mentioned by correspondents from other 
islands earlier though, we don't need flooding or landslides as an extra... 
Regardless of the annual mouthing of our politicians, utility authorities and 
of our citizens, we really do not play a proactive role when it comes to 
preventative measures re flooding. Efforts may be made by a few individuals in 
communities and perhaps in positions of power but it has to be a collaborative 
effort on the part of ALL of us.

- South Trinidad
  • From: Christine Westmaas <chrisalis1003 at yahoo.co.uk>
  • Date: Fri, 1 Aug 2014 17:34:59 +0100
We awoke to a bright, sunny and stiflingly hot morning but by 11.00 a.m. dark clouds began to gather and we could hear the odd rumble of thunder.  We have had  a few flashes of lightning and some loud thunder in the last half hour or so and it is raining steadily at the moment.  As the day progresses, I will keep updating, especially if there is any dramatic change in the weather.

- Close enough
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 31 Jul 2014 07:11:45 -0400
2014-07-31st. Thu. 06:45 a.m.
Trinidad & Tobago, W.I.

Using the tools Dave has provided graciously in stormcarib.com
a 'blob' that requires emergency preparations and future operations
is about 60 hrs. away from full Impact. Or 7:30 a.m. Saturday morning!
Bearing waves over 10ft., winds of 30 kts. with higher gusts,
Rainfall is dependent on forward speed and SAL content near the center.
Which could be anything over one inch which will be a relief to all islands baring its hazardous nature.

Talking about 'Hazards and Perils', it makes landfall on a Saturday, probably nowhere near you. So stay put in one place and don't add to any type of trauma or confusion thus endangering the situation and first responders. If necessary, continuously and without criticizing, ASK FOR HELP! Before, During and After, .... ASK FOR HELP! You have to be certified, qualified and equipped to handle emergencies. Lastly, remember it's a team effort!

Pray, Plan, Prepare and Procure!!

God bless

God bless

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- Stalling Troughs, Waves and Depressions
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 26 Jul 2014 06:43:45 -0400
1) My weather forecast for Trinidad, Tobago and The Windward and Leeward Islands is the same as international forecasts.
60% chance of rain and scattered thunderstorms
Winds from the ESE in excess of 10mph.
Sea swells averaging 7 ft.

(If you look at it that's not bad.)

2) The stalling and gut feelings???
If the pressure drops,
the winds pick up and are consistent,
And, (that is actually what's stopping all the above),
SAL dry-air and upper level jet stream reduces or are not relevant,
what we actually have is 'Bertha' forming over us.
Then again, I don't know squat.

God bless

- Bare with me, ...
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 25 Jul 2014 16:30:30 -0400
I've just came from work one hour.
Facts are:
The weather forecast is 40% chance of thunder-storms tonight. 
Min. = 76 F. with persistent cloudiness.

There is going to be a third direct hit. (soon).
And the one tonight and the two previous had circulation.

If you leave out, barometric pressure and consistent and gusting wind speeds,
one will have to agree with Dominica - based on damage - 
They are all low-end tropical depressions.

I definitely will have to write again soon. 
Thank God it's week-end.

God bless

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- Wow
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 25 Jul 2014 07:53:36 -0400
I am a half hour late for work.

Where did this all come from?

I don't know but Tobago and Grenada
seemed to have had it hard so far.

Got to go, ....

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- ~~ Keep Calm ~~ -
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 24 Jul 2014 03:26:47 -0400
Glorious Peace,
Please, ....

Keep Calm !

ONCE you have prepared
and at this point, there is nothing
you can do but, KEEP CALM.

BY DOING THAT, you remove the object from danger,
and danger from the object.!.!.!. So, keep calm!

To Martinique: "Notres sentiments vont a la gente."
For Dominica (right now): "Ca beau, pas tene peur." 
To the Lesser Antilles (and Puerto Rico) : 
"You barely have two more hours to prepare."

God bless because, My God walks on water.

- Reality and Truth
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 23 Jul 2014 03:43:45 -0400
2014 - 07 - 23rd. Wed. 03:10 a.m.
Petit Valley, Diego Martin, 
T'dad & T'bgo, W.I.

Pray, Plan, Prepare and Procure, People of Paradise,

When I look at the NHC forecast,

The Weather Forecast for T'dad, ( a quick glance at the weather forecast of other islands {notably Barbados and Guadeloupe} ), the indisputable comments of Dr. Jeff  Masters and whosoever he puts to write, and other pertinent but not less significant in their own right writers, I see:

T'dad: 80% chance of rain with thunderstorms.
B'dos: Cloudy.
Guadeloupe: Cloudy.
Other areas: passing clouds.

NHC: (couldn't be better written):

This I wholly agree with and couldn't be better written.

However I would translate some facts contained above that people need like how they need graphic satellite images which is not reality and far more so is not what represents a tropical depression.

- TD. #2 is about 36 hours away. (the axis).
- a.  It is 600 miles away and is about 100 miles in diameter moving 15 kts. WNW. (averaging).
- b. That means when not if it dissipates or intensifies, it will be 175 - 325 miles in   diameter.
- a. i. It presently is responsible for 10 ft. waves and 30 - 40 kt. winds. 
- b. i. A feeder band within its radii will be responsible for winds over 15 mph. and possible rainfall over an inch. 
- The following link shows what exists already for small-island states, ie. the smallest islands are most vulnerable, ...

I am not looking for work or leadership and feel greatly pleased we now have truth and reality on the pages of our media. It was unbalanced before. People can take care of themselves even children, given reality.

God bless

- Thunder!!!!!
  • From: Stephen Abouhamad <stephen_abouhamad at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2014 16:30:46 +0000
Trinidad and Tobago

As I finished post I heard some intense thunder in the background. Hope everyone stays safe and dry.

Stephen Abouhamad

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- Rain Rain Rain
  • From: Stephen Abouhamad <stephen_abouhamad at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2014 16:23:52 +0000
Trinidad and Tobago

Rain continues over these few days in Trinidad. This is from a weak tropical wave that is passing the the southern windward islands. These showers are not as intense as Friday but the ground is still saturated with all the rain over these days. Flights are still disrupted due to the bad weather especially domestic flights to Tobago. 


Stephen Abouhamad

- Huhm, ...
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 20 Jul 2014 05:27:22 -0400
2014 - 07 - 20th. Sun. 04:55 a.m.
Petit Valley, Diego Martin, T'dad & T'bgo, W.I.

No room for complacency, ...!

To tell you the honest truth, it was difficult and uninteresting to get true my reading of the daily news this morning. However there were two areas that are heartening;
The news have sub-treated the interests of their stakeholders and conveys more reality.
Stephen from Trinidad in stormcarib posted what I wanted to say. He is from South and Trinidad is bigger than people realize.

I don't like how things will look or are looking.

And the simple reality (which everyone is facing and conveying) are the forecasts are for rain to continue today and tomorrow with a blob that has no room for complacency 4 - 7 days away.

(I agree with earlier posts before the season began 'Bertha' will be the one to watch. More from historical experience than superstition.)

Well the solution is first to define the problem then give it to the Lord in prayer.
Pray, Plan, Prepare and Procure, ..., then pray again.

God bless 

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- Rain came down in buckets!!!!
  • From: Stephen Abouhamad <stephen_abouhamad at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 19 Jul 2014 04:03:17 +0000
Trinidad and Tobago

A pleasant good night everyone in the StormCarib family. Hope everyone is dry tonight after what transpired earlier today. Today was a wet day from early as 5am. Showers, Thunder Storms and Gusty Winds. This was cause by a Tropical Wave that was intensified with the I.T.C.Z. Continuous rain fall was felt throughout Trinidad and as the media reported tonight that many areas were flooded out with some streets being submerged.
Its been a long while since I have seen weather conditions change so quickly. Many times today I was tricked to think that the rain was going to stop and within five minutes the dark clouds just rolled back in to prevent any sunshine from squeezing in.
The intense weather caused many flights today to be delayed and even cancelled which made my work more difficult. Hope you guys have a good night.

Stephen Abouhamad

- Passing Clouds and Showers, ..., - (Conserve) -
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2014 09:34:18 -0400
Only because of the 36 hour deadline I comment on a few items of interest.

Otherwise it's all passing clouds and showers that I give thanks for, ....
Thanks Almighty!



Thanks alot Christine for your posts. (Very helpful). 
I miss Michelle but she told me why.

God bless

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- More rain
  • From: Christine Westmaas <chrisalis1003 at yahoo.co.uk>
  • Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2014 17:09:35 -0400
Although we have had overcast skies all day, we have only had a few short-lived 
showers. At the moment, though, it's raining very heavily in San Fernando. 
Thankfully, our reservoirs will be getting some much-needed inches if this 
continues. I heard a news report that says that a dam in Tobago is operating at 
25 per cent capacity.

- Out of Nowhere, (No circulation), ...
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2014 06:26:12 -0400
I am afraid in less than 24 hrs. the SAL air layer has dispersed enough for the next tropical wave less than 24 hrs. away from Port of Spain to hit us with precipitation that needs attention.

Aside: Tobago and the Point Fortin and parts of South-Central Area were hit by heavy winds in the last tropical wave.

Attachment: 14th july 500am.jpg
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Attachment: 14TH JULY 515AM.jpg
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- Defining Cyclonic? ie. Circulation and Wind, ...
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 10 Jul 2014 05:18:24 -0400
2014-07-10th. Thursday, 5:00 a.m.
Petit Valley, Diego Martin,
T'dad & T'bgo, W.I.

Why worry when you can pray and give thanks?
Which in itself presents a solution to any problem.

Attached are a three pics of what began 
around 7:00 - 8:00 p.m. yesterday and continued on and off 
with light to sometimes moderate showers, (no wind),
during the night.

My method of seeing circulation are time-lapse satellite images.
But that's not what i want to impart.
I remember from wind-surfing days that, ...
5 -15 mph. winds will flutter leaves and twigs even.
15 - 25 mph. winds will bend the branches in shrubs or small trees.
25 - 35 mph. winds will bend the trunk of a small tree 
and make big tree branches bend but not break.

Just a little low-tech info one can share presently.

God bless

Attachment: baby iguana.jpg
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Attachment: 9th july 200pm.jpg
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Attachment: 9th july 245pm.jpg
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Attachment: 9th july 345pm.jpg
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- Several Points of Passing Interest, ...
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 7 Jul 2014 18:04:50 -0400
2014-07-07th. Mon.
T'dad & T'bgo, W.I.

Good Day, Good Everything, People of Paradise,

One can only say thanks and hope that the respite from the barren heat and dryness 
is replaced with the refreshing waters of The Trade Winds 
in this summer season of blossoms and plenty.

There are a few points of interest that as brothers and sisters 
with experience some others may miss and are worth mentioning.
If things continue to pan out as they are unfolding,
there will be no cause for alarm.

First, my heart-felt feelings go out to the people of Mexico
who have experienced today what will turn out to be,
a possibly fatal earthquake. 
(They already live in a desert and the mouth of a volcano 
and experience Pacific and Atlantic storms.)

The Bahamas just recovering from the 1st. on the 1st. July 
is also worthy of attention again because the blob that 
keeps rejuvenating in wind-shear is up to it again.

Also of more than passing interest is the next blob 4 - 7 days away;


As for t'dad & t'bgo, locally, the next blob will pull a draught thru us from tonight bringing mild refreshing showers.

If not for yourself, for your neighbour,
remain alert, 
God bless

Attachment: 07th july 415pm.jpg
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Attachment: 7am 7th july mexico.jpg
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Attachment: 7th july 415pm.jpg
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- Correction to previous post
  • From: Christine Westmaas <chrisalis1003 at yahoo.co.uk>
  • Date: Mon, 7 Jul 2014 05:21:40 +0100
Sorry, made a serious blooper, but my husband's travels cover the years from 1972 (not 1992 as I mistakenly wrote previously) to 2013.
The mosquitoes are merciless.  To bed I must go.

- Not an awful lot of rain - yet
  • From: Christine Westmaas <chrisalis1003 at yahoo.co.uk>
  • Date: Mon, 7 Jul 2014 04:57:50 +0100
While we have had some rain in Trinidad and Tobago since the start of the rainy season, it has not been enough to pacify the water management authorities who are watching reservoir levels with some concern.  There has been some scheduling of the water supply to conserve supplies and to alert the population to the need to use water wisely.  Before we know it, the dry season will be upon us but hopefully the rains will come in sufficient abundance to satisfy the country's needs and to have enough extra stored as well.
On a personal note, my husband launched his book of travel tales yesterday.  Entitled "Out of the Box", it is a compilation of his adventures from 1992 to 2013 and covers Latin America from Mexico to Argentina, some of the Caribbean countries (including but not limited to Cuba, Jamaica, Martinique), Morocco and South Africa and parts of Europe.  At the launch we exhibited artifacts that we have collected since our honeymoon through Venezuela to Peru in 1974 to those collected from Spain and Morocco last year.  Unpacking and re-placing them in the house is not on my list of eagerly anticipated things to do!  The occasion was made even more special as it coincided with our 40th wedding anniversary.
The mosquitoes are out in their usual huge numbers tonight, despite every effort to eliminate breeding places.  It seems that this is a problem plaguing many areas around the country.  With dengue fever a very real threat, the mosquito masses are a cause for serious concern.  Even when the health authorities spray the area, there is no relief from the creatures which even find their way under the soles of your feet to inflict their itchy bites by day and by night.
I think that's my cue to say "Good night!"

- Out of my area but not League
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 28 Jun 2014 21:56:12 -0400
I have to comment on a blob that just passed us and rekindled its blob nature right in the middle of wind - shear. 
(May I add it's pulling wind-shear with it.)
It's going to hit out of my area in less than 36 hours 
but not as a cyclone but wave, heavy wave.

Don't panic, but pray, plan and prepare, ... 
If I am right.

God bless
This year we have all got it right 
and should applaud ourselves.

Attachment: 29th june 915pm mid-range.jpg
Description: JPEG image

Attachment: 29th june 915pm.jpg
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- Met Services warns of drier than usual weather conditions
  • From: Katy Young <katy at sbms.co.tt>
  • Date: Sat, 28 Jun 2014 18:10:25 -0400
Evening all,
Citizens and visitors to Trinidad and Tobago are being urged to conserve water because of drier than usual conditions.
This is the link to the statement by Met Sevices:

In Tobago, the below average rainfall is expected to continue until August.
Will keep you all update


Katy Young

Store Bay Marine Services Limited

Unit 3, The Surf Shack, Lot 1, Pigeon Point Road,Crown Point, Tobago

Website: www.sbms.co.tt Email: katy at sbms.co.tt

Phone: 660 8468 Cell: 740 2269 VHF: Ch06

Facebook: Store Bay Marine Services:https://www.facebook.com/StoreBayMarineServicesTobago

Directors: John R Stickland & Katy Young

- Water Conservation - Capital vs. Current - Private vs. Gov't
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 26 Jun 2014 20:41:53 -0400
2014-06-26th. Thurs.
Petit Valley, D'go Martin,
Trinidad & Tobago, W. I.

Well talk about how not all optimism is a good thing, ...
I surely hope that no one was set up for disappointment by 
the poor display of rain we have been getting.

You know I sometimes put my foot in my mouth 
but bear the consequences well. So I forecast 
rain at midday tomorrow and early or midday Saturday (Minimum).
Rain from tomorrow ( Windwards) and over the weekend for 
2 1/2 days (Maximum).

When I was allowed and invited to contribute here after the disaster in Haiti. I have always said the legislation for Mother Nature are archaic and not money-making. In fact they seem to have been ad hoc means to deal with a current situation and not capitally planned, financed and income bearing. The grouse then was spastic electrical outages esp. during bad weather. Now today we have to do something about pools, dams and reservoirs. Irrigation and Drainage.

I remember throwing stones in a river so that infants could bathe in a pool. (Primitive times I know.) Any way the fact that monopolies control electricity, the water-courses and water retention and distribution seem to need some attention and may I say be given to private individuals like those who remember the good ole days. (Not forgetting the role of first responders.)

God bless

- Thanks, thanks, ..., Thanks!
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2014 05:29:24 -0400
Good Day, Good Everything, People of Paradise,

Thank God, so far, ....
The following could be a problem for The Windwards tonight and tomorrow and The Leewards the following day in terms of street flooding



Attachment: MON 23RD JUNE 445 AM.jpg
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- Sitting in wait
  • From: Stephen Abouhamad <stephen_abouhamad at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 17 Jun 2014 20:49:13 +0000
Trinidad and Tobago

Well we are already at the 17th of June and it shows that the rainy season has begun. It has been a slow start to the season as always with no named storms as yet. But thats the norm here. Lets sit and wait to see how it shapes up. These days we are hardly having any rain at all with lots of sun. But its only the start. We need to keep our eyes open. 
Stephen Abouhamad

- Rain
  • From: Stephen Abouhamad <stephen_abouhamad at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 16 Jun 2014 05:02:12 +0000
Trinidad and Tobago

Pleasant Good Morning. Happy Belated Fathers to everyone. Hope you all had a wonderful day. Lots and lots of rain early yesterday morning. Hope no one got flooded out. The tropical wave made its presence felt. We are all sitting in wait for the next tropical wave which is expected in the Caribbean in the next 48 hours. Bye for now.
Michael Abouhamad

- Wave and Cyclone - 2 Different Things
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2014 16:44:40 -0400
2014 - 06 - 11th Wed.
T'dad & T'bgo, W.I.
16:30 (4:30) p.m.

Let's recall please,
- A tropical wave and a tropical cyclone is two different things.
- A tropical cyclone can develop anywhere at anytime. (Heat and Pressure).
- Satellite images and conditions on the ground and on the sea are different.

Having gotten that out of the way, a tropical blob will peak 48 hrs. from now and start in Trinidad and Tobago tonight. In my opinion;

[see: NHC forecasts, ... (Everybody has it right.)]

God bless

- Rain and more rain
  • From: Stephen Abouhamad <stephen_abouhamad at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 8 Jun 2014 02:00:40 +0000
Trinidad and Tobago
San Juan

Wow the rainy season has started off with a bang. These past two days here in Trinidad and Tobago have been filled with lots of rain, wind, thunder and lightning. I felt the effects of it last night as i made my way home from work. The rains came down a little after 9pm while i was on work and the rains continued straight into this morning. It was some weather i must say. Hope everyone is safe tonight.
Stephen Abouhamad.

- Hot Sun
  • From: Stephen Abouhamad <stephen_abouhamad at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 5 Jun 2014 05:36:33 +0000
San Juan
Trinidad and Tobago

A pleasant good morning to all readers on Storm Carib. Seeing that it is the start of the hurricane season we are hoping that this season will be quite but as faith would have it it takes just one storm to make its presence felt in the Atlantic basin. At the present moment these days it is hot and sunny with a light breeze at times. Everyone be safe.

Michael Abouhamad

- (Typical) Borderline Convective Conditions
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 1 Jun 2014 11:54:30 -0400
2014 - 06 - 01st. Sun.
11 : 45 a.m.
T&T, W.I.

Hi everyone, Happy Sunday !

This post is historical reporting in three parts rather than future forecasting.

One, it's more relevant to areas further in the chain of tropical things.
Two, it is typical trinidad weather ( refreshing ) at the beginning of the rainy season.
Three, it is bordering on cyclonic but definitely convective for the last day and a half.

Winds, very few, gusting just below 35mph.
No blackout, but a serious attempt at a white-out.
The insane heat of previous years before and after rain is not present.
The humidity (pressure) is bearable if not refreshing.

You can see clearly in attached.
God bless

Attachment: 1st june 115am.jpg
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Attachment: 1st june 1045am.jpg
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Attachment: 1st june 1117am.jpg
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- Repeating Salient and True Media Info
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 27 May 2014 03:28:27 -0400
This is just to state the obvious which the media has gotten right from day #1.

There is going to be rain.
In the early part of the rain,
Winds will average 10 - 15 kts.
Peaking at 15 - 20 kts.
Seas (off-shore) will be dangerous at times.

The periphery of the third blob
has reached Trinidad and will contest wind-shear
west of St. Vincent and Grenada.

My wish for 2014:
If you have no important business to do 
in forecasted periods. Then do just that.
Stay home.

God bless

Attachment: 27th may 305am.jpg
Description: JPEG image

- Thank God for Water
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 26 May 2014 01:24:26 -0400
2014-05-26th. Mon.
Petit Vly, D'go M'rtn,
Trinidad & Tobago, W.I.

Thank almighty God for the heavenly juice that gives us life in a moderate shower. 
Thank God!

That was the second tropical wave, leaving the southern Windward Islands 
and going up to the northern Windward Islands.

The third tropical wave is about 48 hours away and too early  to call.
It left the ITCZ with notable activity, or circulation but once again it's too early to tell.
As for me it seems to be headed for inland south America.

Thank God

- Rain
  • From: Katy Young <katy at sbms.co.tt>
  • Date: Sun, 25 May 2014 07:30:40 -0400
Morning all,
The first real rain for months is now falling on Tobago. For the last two hours we've had rain, which the island desperately needs as many areas are now on a water schedule because the reservoirs are so low. Below is the forecast for the rest of the day.
Have a great Sunday


Date:Sunday 25th of May 2014 

Meteorologist: Gary Benjamin

Cloudy periods with showers or rain in varying
localities and the chance of thundershowers in a
few confined areas.

Sunny with interruptions of mainly light showers
in a few areas.
SEAS: Normal to Moderate occasionally Choppy
Temperature Units:Celsius

Piarco: 24	Crown Point: 24

Piarco: 32	Crown Point: 30
Tides ISSUED AT: 05:38PM
Date:Saturday 24th of May 2014   

Port of Spain HIGH 1.04a 2.00p LOW 7.39a 7.33p
Scarborough   HIGH 1.03a 1.27p LOW 7.36a 7.41p


Katy Young

Store Bay Marine Services Limited

Unit 3, The Surf Shack, Lot 1, Pigeon Point Road,Crown Point, Tobago

Website: www.sbms.co.tt Email: katy at sbms.co.tt

Phone: 660 8468 Cell: 740 2269 VHF: Ch06

Facebook: Store Bay Marine Services:https://www.facebook.com/StoreBayMarineServicesTobago

Directors: John R Stickland & Katy Young

- Rainy season official begins in Trinidad and Tobago
  • From: Katy Young <katy at sbms.co.tt>
  • Date: Tue, 20 May 2014 15:14:54 -0400

The Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological (Met) Office has official declared the start of rainy season today.

In a statement is says:

 Trinidad and Tobago experienced cloudiness and showery activity overnight into this morning. This showery activity has been associated with the passage of a Tropical Wave over the Southern Caribbean.  Rainfall activity as a result of the passage of a Tropical Wave or the influence of the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), whichever is first, heralds the start of the Rainy Season each year. 
Over the 12-hour period beginning at 8:00 pm (19th May 2014), the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service recorded 1.6 millimeters of rainfall at Piarco, Trinidad with higher rainfall accumulations occurring in other localities. Sequences of rainy episodes can be anticipated to ensue over the next four (4) to five (5) months, interrupted by short-lived fair conditions. The rainy season is initially forecast to be near normal. 
The Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service wishes to re-assure the national community, that in keeping with our mandate, we continue to closely monitor weather conditions around Trinidad and Tobago and will continue to advise the general public in a timely manner about any impending adverse weather conditions which are likely to affect our islands.
 Have a great afternoon all



Katy Young

Store Bay Marine Services Limited

Unit 3, The Surf Shack, Lot 1, Pigeon Point Road,Crown Point, Tobago

Website: www.sbms.co.tt Email: katy at sbms.co.tt

Phone: 660 8468 Cell: 740 2269 VHF: Ch06

Facebook: Store Bay Marine Services:https://www.facebook.com/StoreBayMarineServicesTobago

Directors: John R Stickland & Katy Young

- Elles sont venues, les pluies, ....
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 20 Apr 2014 14:43:43 -0400
Petit Valley, Diego Martin,
Trinidad & Tobago, W.I.
2014 - 04 - 20th. Sun.

 Happy Easter, People of Paradise 

Definitely from tonight, Sunday night, the weather we've been having for the last two to three weeks will become more pronounced. That is rainfall will become more sustained and recurring. Sometimes a little over-bearing. Tonight I forecast will last definitely more than a day and a half, (less than three).

This is for Trinidad & Tobago. I haven't factored in the other islands. 

Sea conditions have nothing to do with what T'dad & T'bgo is experiencing currently. This as we all know will improve over the coming months if not weeks.

Lastly I normally write Gert at gobeach when the season starts, but I include everybody this time and invite you to look at wind-shear over a) Eastern Caribbean b) Colombia c) Florida and Bahamas. Then look at sea temperatures. Qu./ Isn't there a common hazardous point?

The good news is I agree with even the skeptics that 'out-of-control' global warming is on the wane and with 'El Nino' almost normal conditions will apply this season. Thus predictable. But then again there is SAL (Sahara-Dust) or (Dry-Air). Going back to Gert whom I have alot to thank for, "It only takes one."

God bless

Attachment: 20th april 115pm.jpg
Description: JPEG image

- 2014 - 04 - 14/15 Full Moon
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 16 Apr 2014 04:46:55 -0400
I couldn't resist sharing this pic. 
courtesy Mr. Maurice Darlington, Bermuda, a Trinidadian, 
of Port of Spain's 'National Academy of the Performing Arts'.

- Springing into Summer
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 2 Apr 2014 22:03:30 -0400
Dear People of Paradise,

Recently, (since my mom's passing), I did not have my vehicle. So my ability to see the coast and fishing depots and what I mean, the bigger birds, the migratory birds has gone caput.

The leaving of the scissors-tail (maybe swallow), back to the Northern Hemisphere, also signifies besides Spring, that 3 - 5 weeks after the rainy season is coming. Its leaving is normally accompanied by the first set of heavy showers, then a long dry period.

However there are other signs. One we know very well. The poui tree blossoming and decorating the dry hill slopes.

I can go on. But what we need to predict is not only Spring is here. But in 3 -5 weeks the rainy season will be here. (Even if it's a dry, humid one.) Attached is the South American weather coming north or The Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone rising above the equator to 10 Latitude.

God bless

Attachment: 2nd april 845pm.jpg
Description: JPEG image

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