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- the only certainty is that we need to be prepared
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- By eli fuller <eliantigua at gmail.com>
- Date: Thu, 2 Sep 2010 08:59:32 -0400
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Yesterday, Gaston was named out in the Atlantic shortly after windguru started saying Antigua was going to be getting hurricane conditions next tuesday/wednesday. People started stressing right away as is normal when a storm forms out east of us and starts looking like it wont go North into the Atlantic. We have already seen the model tracks jump around a bit as well as the predicted strengths. Nobody can be sure where this storm will end up or even if it will hit anywhere in the Caribbean, BUT we must prepare for a direct hit just in case that id happens. In fact, I would tell anyone from Grenada north to get your hurricane plans in order for this storm of the next one. We will have to wait and see and i'm sure that you will see constant reports on this site over the next few days. This link gives you an idea of the prediction models. As you can see several have Gaston going South of Antigua and some have it going North. This can only mean that we need to be prepared. I am going to my mom's house today to help get it more prepared than it was for the tropical storms conditions that we experienced in Hurricane Earl. More to come.
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- Hurricane Blvd?
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- By Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
- Date: Wed, 1 Sep 2010 18:37:03 -0400
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With FIONA gone, GASTON has us in his crosshairs! The tracks will once again
bring him pretty close to Antigua and Barbuda, this week has certainly returned
our reputation as Hurricane Alley as we have four storms develop in 11 days.
Windguru.cz indicates 60knots gusting to 74 knots on Tuesday Sep 7th at 2000UTC
4PM local. They have accurate over the last two storms so this time we are in
for some wind if they are correct!
Alan Scholl
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- SOMEWHAT QUIET
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- By Andre Sharpe <andresharpe1 at gmail.com>
- Date: Wed, 1 Sep 2010 07:41:09 -0400
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No major events occurring thus far. It rained a bit earlier here on the north of the island but everything else is calm. A bit overcast and the temperature is quite cool. Expecting a bit more rain later on.
-- Andre
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- Change
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- By eli fuller <eliantigua at gmail.com>
- Date: Wed, 1 Sep 2010 06:41:01 -0400
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We haven't had winds over 5 knots in Jolly Harbour in 24 hours. I see they had some light rain on d north side, but nada here. Radar showed heavy rains sitting just offshore since about 9 pm last night but Fiona fooled them. Didn't fool windguru tho. They forecast no rain and no wind up until now and light winds today with some rain. I don't think this thing was ever a Tropical storm. Could still get heavy rain today though I suppose.
Eli Fuller
http://www.twitter.com/antigua
http://www.adventureantigua.com
http://www.antiguaisland.blogspot.com
+12687257263
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- Quiet night but rain has started
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- By Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
- Date: Wed, 1 Sep 2010 05:04:15 -0400
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It has been either a very quiet night or have been sleeping very soundly. It
just started to rain though very light.I heard some thunder in the distance and
a few lightning flashes were also just seen followed by more thunder.
5AM posItion is 17.4N 60.2W
Alan Scholl
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- Earl and
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- By jan farara <janfarara at hotmail.com>
- Date: Tue, 31 Aug 2010 16:41:29 +0000
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Earl came through with a lot of fanfare and luckily just brushed us at cat 2. Lots of flooding in low lying areas and saw the emergency vehicles' out at Yorks late yesterday afternoon. We saw a lot of people wading around in pretty deep nasty water, not sure if someone was lost. Antigua Village car park has been renamed Antigua Village pond!!!! The sea looked as though it belonged off the coast of England not our turquoise coast. No power ,no internet ,intermittent mobile reception and that was from 5.pm on Sunday!!! Still no power at Buckleys...40 hours. Propane has just been delivered to some gas stations and James staked them out . We can now cook and use water, as our generator uses propane gas. I have mentioned before that our road can only loosly carry that name. Last Thursday we were woken early by a grader and roller turning our craters and fissures into a smooth beautiful surface, this is a few days before they knew we getting a tropical storm at the least. After inches of runoff we now have MORE fissures ,craters and a little extra. rocks and boulders. Keeping the shutters up as we should be getting Fiona tonight ,hopefuly less water and wind than Earl. Power just came back on.Off to wash all the wet sheets and towels so we can do more mopping tomorrow. Jan
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- Fiona lost some of her attitude
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- By Ellen Deboeck <ellen at searchantigua.com>
- Date: Tue, 31 Aug 2010 12:18:32 -0400
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Hi All,
It seems that our dear Fiona is going to leave us with some rain for now. I hope that she means it and does not cause us any damage. So far, it is looking better.
Keep u posted. www.SearchAntigua.com
www.AntiguaPressReleases.com
Tel: (268) 561-0044

This message, including any attachments, is intended only for the use of the individual(s) to which it is addressed and may contain information that is privileged or confidential. Any other distribution, copying or disclosure is strictly prohibited. If you are not the intended recipient or have received this message in error, please notify me immediately by reply e-mail and permanently delete this message including any attachments, without reading it or making a
copy. Do not disclose its contents to any third party, or use its contents.
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- fiona still very weak and still going north of the caribbean. YAY
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- By eli fuller <eliantigua at gmail.com>
- Date: Tue, 31 Aug 2010 10:54:56 -0400
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The NHC was quite early in their 11 am report, but say that Fiona is only at 35 knots sustained and is still supposed to go a little further north of Barbuda than Earl did. For those of you geographically challenged, Barbuda is north of Antigua which means that the "storm" will be quite far from antigua.
I think that Fiona is only just on the verge of being strong enough for them to call it a tropical storm and thankfully it's track is good news for us here.
Looks like tours are on for thursday without any doubt.
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- March of storms
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- By Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
- Date: Tue, 31 Aug 2010 07:08:30 -0400
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Power returned at 11:40pm last night after a 32 hour absence. As soon as the
watches and warnings were dropped for EARL we now have FIONA and another Invest
right behind her wagging tail. I hope they maintain their paths and strengths,
but I do dread the one that will urn the bullseye right toward us.
Alan Scholl
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- Sunshine
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- By eli fuller <eliantigua at gmail.com>
- Date: Tue, 31 Aug 2010 07:53:33 -0400
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Just uploaded a photo on my twitter showing what a nice morning I am waking too. Looking ay what Earl became, I'm just so happy that Antigua was spared. Only a few places had flooding and I didn't hear of any structural damage. Some visitors and others who have never experienced a hurricane will be annoyed to hear that Antigua didn't actually get a hurricane yesterday. We received Tropical Storm conditions from a weak hurricane Earl as it missed us passing to our north. Of course the flooding, all gone by now, was bad for some low flood prone areas but for the rest of us who have experienced real hurricane conditions, this was nothing more than a very good drill getting us prepped for more to come. This brings me to the very weak Tropical Storm Fiona just east of the Caribbean. All forecasts show Fiona passing further away from us than Earl did AND as a weaker storm. We have to prepare for it just in case the forecasts are wrong but it looks like Fiona wont bother us. Further east the next blob is being given a very low chance at developing at this point. All good news for Antigua and Barbuda at this point. Sadly the same can't be said for other places that experienced Earl are are still in its path. Will upload some photos to my blog later. Eli
Eli Fuller
http://www.twitter.com/antigua
http://www.adventureantigua.com
http://www.antiguaisland.blogspot.com
+12687257263
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- GUA radar snapshot
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- By Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
- Date: Sun, 29 Aug 2010 16:06:00 -0400
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Sent from my iPad
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- Warnings issued...Again!!!
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- By Allan D <top_shatta_ad2002 at hotmail.com>
- Date: Mon, 30 Aug 2010 23:32:40 -0400
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They've barely lifted the storm warnings on the same set of islands that are now once again refreshed with a new one...well, they should've just left it on to save the logistics, lol. Well at least this one(Fiona) doesn't look so bad but considering that the rain is still pouring on some islands and the ground being saturated, Fiona is definitely not good news for flood prone areas.
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- Massive Earl rolling away...
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- By Allan D <top_shatta_ad2002 at hotmail.com>
- Date: Mon, 30 Aug 2010 23:14:56 -0400
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It's hard to imagine Earl was just a typical sized tropical storm only 48 hours ago. It has now grown to a monolithic monster covering the entire Eastern Caribbean from far out north in the Atlantic all the way south to the Venezuelas! It's so big, its outflow is practically shearing the one behind it, Fiona apart preventing her from organizing too fast. I just spoke to a friend of mine that work at NHC, despite the size, none of the islands affected so far by Earl has officially reported sustained winds greater than 80 mph which basically means the nastiest of Earl(clocked in at 135 mph) had spared them all, very lucky indeed!

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- Antigua
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- By fullerj at candw.ag
- Date: Mon, 30 Aug 2010 23:38:35 +0000
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Still no electricity, internet or tv. Can't imagine how it would be if we got a
direct hit from a big one.
Sent from my BlackBerry® device from Digicel
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- Clearing
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- By eli fuller <eliantigua at gmail.com>
- Date: Mon, 30 Aug 2010 13:46:53 -0400
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Earl, now long gone left behind some some downed trees and many branches. Mostly I think the island was spared. I know we received more than 7 inches of rain last night and this am. Bolans and parts of Jennings were badly flooded and I am sure some of the other flood prone areas were too. A small section of Jolly Harbour got flooding too. Most of the boats were fine, but several sank that were tied up poorly in vulnerable places. People will be back in business tomorrow. This was a great reminder to all those who think preparing for a weak storm is cowardice. Small ones can get bigger and a track that is within 200 miles of you is something that shouldn't be laughed at. Many were totally unprepared for this one. A few images. Don't laugh at how many lines I put on my sloop.
Eli Fuller
http://www.twitter.com/antigua
http://www.adventureantigua.com
http://www.antiguaisland.blogspot.com
+12687257263
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- Wow
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- By fullerj at candw.ag
- Date: Mon, 30 Aug 2010 09:53:21 +0000
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Holy s....t!!!!!!
Sent from my BlackBerry® device from Digicel
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- All good so far
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- By eli fuller <eliantigua at gmail.com>
- Date: Mon, 30 Aug 2010 05:04:17 -0400
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Took a drive around Jolly Harbour from one side to the other just now. No damage to anything that we could see. All boats in and out the water look fine. Winds were high 40s and there was 20 mins of the heaviest rain I've ever seen. In the 45 mins we were gone the canal on the north side rose significantly and started to overflow by the bridge to Harbour Island. Hope the rains ease up, but no sign of that on radar. Looks like we may have had winds in the low 60s but that's just from looking at broken branches. More reports later when sun comes out.
Eli Fuller
http://www.twitter.com/antigua
http://www.adventureantigua.com
http://www.antiguaisland.blogspot.com
+12687257263
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- Eye of Earl passing near Barbuda
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- By Allan D <top_shatta_ad2002 at hotmail.com>
- Date: Mon, 30 Aug 2010 02:03:36 -0400
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Look at this big round eye of Earl's, almost beautiful to look at! It's just north of Barbuda, about 20 miles away. Note the thin yellow band of higher radar reflectivity wrapping around the front of the eye itself, that's the almighty eyewall where the most intense wind(in this case, 100mph) and thunderstorms are situated and that is just off the coast of Barbuda. I hope everything stay safe there...

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- Hurricane Earl - Impact Estimate 1.0
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- By Allan D <top_shatta_ad2002 at hotmail.com>
- Date: Sun, 29 Aug 2010 23:29:29 -0400
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Wind impact on the island of Antigua- this map mainly shows the direction of onshore winds and area affected most at different time frame as Earl passes.

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- Worries
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- By fullerj at candw.ag
- Date: Mon, 30 Aug 2010 01:38:26 +0000
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No electricity, no internet. Eli sent me latest radar foto... Don't like what's
coming....
Sent from my BlackBerry® device from Digicel
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- Earl draw nears!
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- By Allan D <top_shatta_ad2002 at hotmail.com>
- Date: Sun, 29 Aug 2010 19:09:19 -0400
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Eye beginning to appear within CDO in one of the last Visible satellite images of the day and should be apparent in Infrared Shortwave later tonight as Earl continues to strengthen. Estimated maximum sustained wind of Earl when it's near closest point to Antigua(3-5 AM) during passage is 90-95 mph with gusts to 110 mph but actual wind speed on the northern shores of Antigua(Fitches Creek, Parham, Jabberwock Beach) would be lower, around 60-70 mph while in Barbuda, winds could exceed 75 mph.
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- IMG00338.jpg
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- By fullerj at candw.ag
- Date: Sun, 29 Aug 2010 22:08:02 +0000
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North shore
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- five boats sorted out and now time to chill
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- By eli fuller <eliantigua at gmail.com>
- Date: Sun, 29 Aug 2010 14:45:27 -0400
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picked up crew at 5:30am and went through the boats one by one. One is on dry dock, two are on boat lifts tied up tight, and two are tied to piles with anchors and loads of extra lines. The eye is now clearly visible on the Guadeloupe radar and is spinning in a westerly direction as forecast. As soon as i saw those close thunderstorms i heard some thunder in the distance. Its raining in jolly and probably blowing about 20-25 out the north. I hope my friends in Barbuda are ready.
Dozens of boats piled into Jolly Harbour from around the island today. Looks like this is an excellent practice, and I have seen quite a few weaknesses in my storm preparations. Next time i will be better prepared or my wife is gonna kick my rear end!
She's never been through one and is acting like this is a cat 5.
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- IMG00334.jpg
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- By fullerj at candw.ag
- Date: Sun, 29 Aug 2010 18:03:35 +0000
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Jolly harbour
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- IMG00331.jpg
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- By fullerj at candw.ag
- Date: Sun, 29 Aug 2010 17:05:52 +0000
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Wind due north
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- EARL
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- By "John Fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
- Date: Sun, 29 Aug 2010 12:20:30 -0400
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HEARD SOME MORE HAMMERING AND DID SOME OF MY OWN. SHUTTERED
NORTH AND WEST SIDES. HOPE IT KEEPS NORTH. BARBUDA IN THE DIRECT LINE OF FIRE.
WEATHER HERE STILL OK.
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- earl
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- By "John Fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
- Date: Sun, 29 Aug 2010 07:32:06 -0400
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Hearing some hammering in the neighbourhood
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- Crap!
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- By eli fuller <eliantigua at gmail.com>
- Date: Sun, 29 Aug 2010 05:50:49 -0400
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Why can't EARL do what he's told? Earl has not moved north as expected and the eye is forecast to go directly over barbuda later tonight. We should start getting rain later today Sunday and winds out of the north after lunch today slowly picking up. Radar shows squalls should reach as far south as St. Lucia believe it or not! Tonight
Antigua will experience hurricane conditions according to forecasts. Prepare if you have time. www.nhc.noaa.com for more info.
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- DUKE OF EARL
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- By "John Fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
- Date: Sat, 28 Aug 2010 23:58:15 -0400
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THE FIRST FOOT SOLDIERS OF THE DUKE ARE PASSING THROUGH
NOW.THE SIZE AND PROXIMITY OF THE STORM ARE VERY INTIMIDATING AND ONE HAS TO
CONTINUOSLY REMIND ONESELF THAT IT IS STILL ONLY A TROPICAL STORM AND WILL
(HOPEFULLY) BE ONLY A CAT 1 TOMORROW AND MONDAY….WIND NOW SLOWLY
INCREASING FROM THE EAST.
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- EARL
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- By "John Fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
- Date: Sat, 28 Aug 2010 23:36:49 -0400
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I AGREE WITH YOU ELI, HURRICANE CONDITIONS SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY. HOPE SOME STORES OPEN TOMORROW. PAD UP.
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- Nice and calm
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- By Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
- Date: Sat, 28 Aug 2010 21:17:10 -0400
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Conditions are calm, but hot. The sky is clear, earlier today the wind was
coming out of the north/ northwest. Got some basic emergency supplies, will do
last checks tomorrow, dig in and await EARLs passage!
Stay safe and good luck everyone.
Alan Scholl
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- EARL
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- By fullerj at candw.ag
- Date: Sat, 28 Aug 2010 16:33:55 +0000
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Finally from the southwest not as I stated previously from the southeast,
Sent from my BlackBerry® device from Digicel
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- EARL
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- By "John Fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
- Date: Sat, 28 Aug 2010 12:03:44 -0400
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Probably the most famous Barbudan of the last 50 years was a
man known by all as the “ Earl”. And as this Earl is passing closer
to Barbuda than to any other island (so far) I thought I’d mention the
late Claude Earl Francis of Codrington, Barbuda.
In any event, if the models are to be believed, the wind and
rain will come (in our neck of the woods) from the north, then the northwest
and finally from the southeast.
The boys in the back room (at least those still alive) are
ready for anything.
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- Barbuda could get hurricane conditions late sunday night and monday morning
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- By eli fuller <eliantigua at gmail.com>
- Date: Sat, 28 Aug 2010 11:38:56 -0400
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The track of what is f'cast to be Hurricane Earl is now predicted to be very close to Barbuda's north coast. Although we can all hope for the best we always should prepare for the worst as it doesn't cost much to say you were prepared. They are saying that when Earl is closest to Barbuda it will be a 85 knot hurricane with gusts to 105 knots (120 mph) with the eye about 50 miles north of the windward coast. I doubt Barbuda will experience conditions close to the 120 mph, but this storm doesn't have a good (predicted) track record. Interests in Barbuda and in Antigua should be prepared. I am taking one of my boats out the water tomorrow morning and have canceled my Monday tours.
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- warning to boaters!
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- By eli fuller <eliantigua at gmail.com>
- Date: Thu, 26 Aug 2010 20:02:13 -0400
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Today earl may have not gone as far north as they had expected with a possible repositioning of the center of the storm further to the south. This means that we may get some rain after all. Windguru is forecasting that we will get wind gusts up to 30 knots on Monday with very large swells and some heavy rains. I would hope that all boaters out there make sure that their boats are not anchored on the west coast of Antigua after Sunday. You will probably lose them if they are as there is no protection at all there unless you are inside a marina.
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- The Atlantic has come alive!
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- By Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
- Date: Thu, 26 Aug 2010 20:02:58 -0400
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The state of the Atlantic gave me a flashback to 1995 when LUIS, MARILYN and
OPAL all sat there slowly cruising across the pond headed our way. The 2010
trio seems to be a little more north of us but will still keep a close watch on
the expected northward turn by EARL.
Today we had a quite a downpour keeping the farmers and garners happy but
possibly a few frowns from the sunbathes and beach goers.
September could be an interesting month, be in a state of readiness!
Alan Scholl
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- Monday could be quite bumpy
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- By eli fuller <eliantigua at gmail.com>
- Date: Wed, 25 Aug 2010 18:34:44 -0400
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Although Hurricane Daniel is of no real threat at all to the Caribbean, it seems as though the bumpy weather behind it has taken a more westerly track and is forecast to pass as close as 200 miles to our north and east. A forecast that predicts a storm 5 days out will pass within 200 miles is worth keeping a close at, but is no real worry at this point. Usually when a storm passes 200 miles from us we receive very little change in the wearher but windguru is already forecasting 20 knots from the north west. Here is the latest from Tropical Storm EARL: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 2029.shtml
I'm going to keep an eye on it. Big swells whatever happens, so boaters should check anchors and ask if you are not sure about how big east swell will treat your anchorage on sunday monday tuesday.
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- perfect sailing weather
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- By eli fuller <eliantigua at gmail.com>
- Date: Tue, 24 Aug 2010 08:14:07 -0400
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Today i have to take some people sailing and it looks like it is going to be a nice one. Will try to tweet a photo or two. Winds blowing at about 15 from the east and there doesn't seem to be any rain on the radar. It's not cloudy but the sky is filled with haze.
I see that all the models are showing both of the storms going way north of the islands before they get close which will make my crew happy. The surfers may even get some swell this week just as the winds get sucked out of here.
The surfing could be some of the best since the last good cold front swell during the winter.
The old man told me that Jeff Masters said that it looked like most of the storms that form will be going north. Not sure how they can figure this out but if it's true then I'd be happy!
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- Squall
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- By eli fuller <eliantigua at gmail.com>
- Date: Thu, 19 Aug 2010 19:46:06 -0400
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Saw that big squall on the radar this am before I was leaving the dock and thought that it was a good chance we'd get some of it. I hadn't realized how quickly it was coming in from the north and within 30 mins we were dropping sails while seeing a wind line fast approaching. When the tops of the little white caps start to smoke, then you know its blowing. I'm sure we had 40 for a few minutes and then 30 for another half hour. Was wild! The British guests didn't seem too bothered and went swimming as we waited for it to pass bay while anchored inshore. Wasn't much wind for sailing afterwards.
Eli Fuller
http://www.twitter.com/antigua
http://www.adventureantigua.com
http://www.antiguaisland.blogspot.com
+12687257263
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- It's a Rainy Day
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- By Ellen Deboeck <ellen at searchantigua.com>
- Date: Thu, 19 Aug 2010 10:23:34 -0400
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Well, today started out as a warm sunny day. Just about 9.45 am, dark clouds covered St.John's and rain started to pour out. Right now, get out the umbrellas and water boots as you are about to get seriously wet in St.Johns.
The rain keeps coming out.....let's hope this is over soon.
www.SearchAntigua.com www.Facebook.com/SearchAntigua

This message, including any attachments, is intended only for the use of the individual(s) to which it is addressed and may contain information that is privileged or confidential. Any other distribution, copying or disclosure is strictly prohibited. If you are not the intended recipient or have received this message in error, please notify me immediately by reply e-mail and permanently delete this message including any attachments, without reading it or making a
copy. Do not disclose its contents to any third party, or use its contents.
|
|
- Time to check daily
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- By eli fuller <eliantigua at gmail.com>
- Date: Wed, 18 Aug 2010 08:09:13 -0400
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So windguru, and crownweather are both indicating that the weather models are forecasting a storm to be disturbing the leeward islands Wednesday next week. Of course at 7 days away these can be wrong, but ignoring them totally could be a fatal mistake. Keep checking the forecasts daily.
Eli Fuller
http://www.adventureantigua.com
http://www.antiguaisland.blogspot.com
+12687257263
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- BEAUTIFUL TROPICAL DAY
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- By "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm at candw.ag>
- Date: Sun, 15 Aug 2010 08:23:08 -0400
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Today is really PARADISE in Antigua.. While the summer is hurricane season, this time of the year we get the PERFECT DAYS of FLAT CALM SEAS with crystal clear waters - great for boating and being on the water. When it is blistering hot in so many USA cities we are still cool in comparison! A great time to visit ....
Still we have to remember things coming off the African coast and pay attention... There are several waves out there now.... |
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- August 10
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- By fullerj at candw.ag
- Date: Tue, 10 Aug 2010 11:55:38 +0000
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Sunny,calm,warm,clear and so green.
Sent from my BlackBerry® device from Digicel
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- RAINY DAY in Paradise
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- By "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm at candw.ag>
- Date: Mon, 9 Aug 2010 09:56:55 -0400
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What a heavy overcast rainy day we have on the rock! Thank goodness all carnival activities are over....Does not look like much on the satellite but looking out the Atlantic there are GRAY GRAY clouds!
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- IS COLIN FORMING??
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- By "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm at candw.ag>
- Date: Mon, 2 Aug 2010 09:37:27 -0400
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HAD A RAINY STORMY night and early morning here in Antigua - CARNIVAL MONDAY -- but seems to be shaping up for a sunny day now which is good for all of those "jumping up" in the streets with CARNIVAL.
At least INVEST 90 "died"... But only to then see 91L form.... From the site below this is their take - but we hope if it develops it will track north of the Leewards... Will certainly be watching it for the week..with it possibly coming near Thursday or Friday.
"Some computer models do pick up on this system and bring it close to the northern Lesser Antilles and the eastern Greater Antilles (Puerto Rico and Hispaniola) mid to late week. If this system strengthens into a tropical storm, it would be named Colin." 
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- invest 90
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- By "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm at candw.ag>
- Date: Fri, 30 Jul 2010 19:25:38 -0400
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Have not been around much to comment on weather...and we have not had much to seriously comment on... But things may change......
I DONT LIKE THE LOOK OF THIS TRACK ALMOST RIGHT OVER ANTIGUA - see link....
READ DAVES COMMENT ABOUT INVEST 90 AND keep an eye out!
TIS THE SEASON!! 
Meanwhile this is ANTIGUAS CARNIVAL JUMP UP... Monday and Tuesday.. So the island is JUMPING!! Thank goodness INVEST 90 is far away!
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- nice weather at the moment and in other news
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- By eli fuller <eliantigua at gmail.com>
- Date: Tue, 27 Jul 2010 11:00:36 -0400
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yes, today is lovely out there. All looks fairly clear on the sat maps too for now. Long range 4casts point at trouble in the atlantic from mid august. fingers crossed.
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- ?
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- By fullerj at candw.ag
- Date: Sun, 25 Jul 2010 17:57:08 +0000
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ATLANTICUS VACUUS
Sent from my BlackBerry® device from Digicel
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- Dark
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- By fullerj at candw.ag
- Date: Fri, 16 Jul 2010 22:06:08 +0000
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Rain coming. Serious breeze. Dark and cool. Looking for soap and a scrubbing
brush to administer to the boys
Sent from my BlackBerry® device from Digicel
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- Windy in Wadadli
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- By eli fuller <eliantigua at gmail.com>
- Date: Tue, 13 Jul 2010 18:54:58 -0400
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Yesterday was a lovely day of sailing for me on the Carriacou with sunny skies and fresh winds at about 15 to 18. The seas offshore had a strong green algae looking tinge which I didn't like, but all else was nice. Today our power boat took a bunch if guests around the island and it probably didn't get below 18 for the day with plenty of haze and a few squalls mixed in. Its gotten worse after 4 pm and radar shows more squalls to S and E. Check twitter.com/antigua for yesterday's mobile images. L8r
Eli Fuller
http://www.adventureantigua.com
http://www.antiguaisland.blogspot.com
+12687257263
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- Antigua nice
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- By eli fuller <eliantigua at gmail.com>
- Date: Tue, 6 Jul 2010 08:37:04 -0400
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Well the rains have gone, leaving behind quite a bit of haze and a fresh breeze. Today we're sailing and conditions look good. Nothing worrisome on the horizon.
Eli Fuller
http://www.adventureantigua.com
http://www.antiguaisland.blogspot.com
+12687257263
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- not what they saw in the brochure
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- By eli fuller <eliantigua at gmail.com>
- Date: Mon, 5 Jul 2010 13:14:53 -0400
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Today started out a little cloudy in Jolly Harbour and the sat and radar showed the wet stuff flowing from south to north just east of Antigua and Guadeloupe. I had two tours booked that i couldn't rebook. My gut told me to cancel them but I had eaten cabbage the night before. The past two days that i canceled trips turned out to be nice days, so today i sent my boats, crew and guests out. The day started out nice, but at 12:15 a band of cloud and rain exploded just to our south east and started moving in. This pic shows actual rain and as you can see, I will have to be doing refunds today. Not good for boating, but the plants are happy.
Attachment:
TFFR-100KM-20100705170500.png
Description: PNG image
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- stormy day
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- By "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm at candw.ag>
- Date: Mon, 5 Jul 2010 11:30:23 -0400
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Today in Antigua is stormy / gray/ heavy overcast with rain off and on... looks like it will be around for a while looking at the satellite! at least it is not an organized storm!
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- 1995 LOUIS
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- By fullerj at candw.ag
- Date: Sat, 3 Jul 2010 16:26:24 +0000
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lissette in Dominica is right. Louis hit us in Antigua and Barbuda very hard in
1995 and went on to Nevis, St. Kitts, St. Barts,St.martin and the VI.
Am in sunny,hot London. Back manana to some
cool breezes.
Sent from my BlackBerry® device from Digicel
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- windward winds
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- By eli fuller <elifuller at yahoo.com>
- Date: Mon, 21 Jun 2010 16:04:47 -0700 (PDT)
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today i tried to clear out of antigua for a delivery down to the grenadines, but there was a little problem with the boats papers. Anyway, looking at the windward islands' forecast tonight on windguru for tomorrow makes me think that it was a good thing we had problems today. 26 knots and plenty of rain f'cast for St. Lucia.....similar in many of the other islands.
A very nice day today here after all that rain on friday night and sat. nothing to speak of out in the atlantic at the moment. spk l8r. TTFN
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- a little reminder
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- By eli fuller <elifuller at yahoo.com>
- Date: Sat, 19 Jun 2010 05:05:28 -0700 (PDT)
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well well... that tropical wave forced me to cancell a boat trip that had 26 sandals guests yesterday morning. at 5:30 am yesterday the sat images and radar looked like it was going to be a very wet day. then after i cancelled, the skies cleared up and not much happened all day until i agreed to go play golf with my bro at about 2:30. Then the rains started and pretty much came one heavy squall after another until late in the night. Over at dad's for dinner we got hit by a strong one which toppled a few chairs and plant pots. Felt like 40 mph and met said they had a gust over 30 knots.
Some of the rain was crazy heavy and the pasta tasted even better in the excitement.
Now the radar shows some rains south over dominica and islands nearby but we are looking like it will be a muddy but sunscreenable golf day.
I notice that they are forecasting another blow up on windguru for mid week which may mess with my plan of delivering a boat down to the Grenadines. Will keep an eye on it.
All good.
O&O
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- Wind
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- By fullerj at candw.ag
- Date: Fri, 18 Jun 2010 23:50:43 +0000
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Just had a gust of 36 mph. Rain.
Sent from my BlackBerry® device from Digicel
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- flare up
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- By eli fuller <elifuller at hotmail.com>
- Date: Fri, 18 Jun 2010 02:51:11 +0000
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Wow! Satellite and radar show a crazy looking Tropical wave about to move into the chain. I'm house sitting tonight on d north side and didn't do anything extra on the boats. Hope the squalls don't rattle my chain tonight too much. all normal at this hour tho.
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- the boys
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- By "John Fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
- Date: Sun, 13 Jun 2010 15:39:20 -0400
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The boys in the back room are grumbling. They may have to
have their annual bath 3 months early.
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- Invest 92e
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- By Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
- Date: Sun, 13 Jun 2010 10:24:00 -0400
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Keeping an eye on Invest 92E in the Atlantic!
NWS has it at 30% chance of development!
Alan
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- the days of haze
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- By eli fuller <elifuller at yahoo.com>
- Date: Thu, 10 Jun 2010 05:08:56 -0700 (PDT)
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each year the haze seems to get worse and worse. I know i don't like it at all for several reasons. mostly i guess i don't like it because it makes it feel cloudy and my photos come out crappy. I also don't like what they say it's been doing to reefs (as if the reefs needed any more help getting wiped out). I don't think anyone likes what's been found in the "african dust" or "sahara dust". The thought of all that CRAP coming over in what we like to think of as "fresh air" kinda makes me want to jump in the sea and wash off. I will be doing plenty of that today!
Anyway, apart from the many things i don't like about the haze, there is always the hurricane thing that may be pretty good during summers like this one. Plenty of dust in the air helps stop storms from forming.
For now, the photos won't be that great. I will be on the boat today uploading some to twitter. Check it out!
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- We have entered the hurricane season
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- By Ellen Deboeck <ellen at searchantigua.com>
- Date: Thu, 3 Jun 2010 15:03:52 -0400
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Yep, I agree with Martha...June too soon. It has been overcast for some days now and every time you step outside in St.john's, the heat just hits you in the face. We could use a bit of rain to cool down the place indeed.
We'll keep you posted
Ellen
http://www.searchantigua.com http://www.facebook.com/SearchAntigua.com
http://www.AntiguaPressReleases.com
-- Ellen Deboeck, Operations Manager Tel: (268) 561-0044 | Cell: (268) 779 0243 Web Development & Internet Services
www.SearchAntigua.com | SearchMontserrat.com | SearchStKitts.com
This message, including any attachments, is intended only for the use of the individual(s) to which it is addressed and may contain information that is privileged or confidential. Any other distribution, copying or disclosure is strictly prohibited. If you are not the intended recipient or have received this message in error, please notify me immediately by reply e-mail and permanently delete this message including any attachments, without reading it or making a copy. Do not disclose its contents to any third party, or use its contents.
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- JUNE TOO SOON?
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- By "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm at candw.ag>
- Date: Sat, 29 May 2010 12:19:53 -0400
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Greetings from our own little piece of paradise!
We are nearly at the start of the potential "big blow season"...we all know reports are NOT GOOD so time to be on our toes ... There is already so much disaster out there with oil spills and earthquakes. Hope we have no bad news to report from our little rock this summer but we will be here watching and ready to let you know what is going on! |
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- Overcast and rain
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- By Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
- Date: Fri, 28 May 2010 08:44:14 -0400
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It has been overcast for the past 3 days with some heavy showers and lightning
last night. Should have some happy farmers and garden lovers.
Alan
Scholla at candw.ag
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- another site with hurricane info
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- By "John Fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
- Date: Mon, 3 May 2010 18:22:10 -0400
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- FW: Updated Outlook For The 2010 Hurricane Season - Issued on Saturday, May 1, 2010
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- By "John Fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
- Date: Sun, 2 May 2010 16:49:28 -0400
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DON’T
LIKE TO USE UP YOUR STORAGE GERT AND DAVE BUT THOUGHT THIS INTERESTING. THE SEA
HERE HAS BEEN REMARKABLY WARM AND CALM ALL YEAR

Issued:
Saturday, May 1, 2010 120 pm EDT
Outlook
I decided to
write up an update to the seasonal forecast I wrote back in early March.
I am very concerned that we're in for a very, very busy hurricane season.
The main feature
that is very worrying to me is the latest European model forecast of Sea Level
Pressure Anomalies and Precipitation Anomalies in the Atlantic. The
forecast continues to call for well below normal pressures and well above
normal precipitation totals during the July to September, 2010 timeframe.
What this means in terms of tropical storm and hurricane activity is that lower
pressures mean lighter winds and less wind shear. In addition, the
lighter winds and less wind shear will also mean more available moisture and in
the end warmer sea surface temperatures.
One other thing
to note, note the above average sea level pressures in the East Pacific (Dark
red). This means that the air will be sinking in the east Pacific and
rising in the Atlantic Basin. Rising air promotes more storminess.


Now, one thing to
note is that the European model forecasted negative conditions for the 2009
Hurricane Season at this time last year and it did quite well with that
forecast. So, there is some merit and credibility that the 2010 Hurricane
Season may be quite active.
There are several
hurricane seasons that are a close match to what this hurricane season may be
like. They are 1958, 1964, 1966, 1969, 1995, 1998 and 2005. As for
potential risk areas, I have attached a map outlining all of the tracks during the
7 analog years. A few areas stand out for higher concentration of
landfalls during those 7 analog seasons. These areas include eastern
North Carolina and the outer banks of North Carolina, south Florida and the
northwest Bahamas, the central Gulf coast (from Louisiana to the Florida
Panhandle), the Leeward Islands and Virgin Islands and finally the northwest
Caribbean, including the Yucatan Peninsula, western Cuba and the Cayman
Islands. Elsewhere, along the US coastline and in the Caribbean, don't
let your guard down as you are also at risk this season of a tropical storm or
hurricane.
Sum of
storm tracks of 7 analog seasons (1958, 1964, 1966, 1969, 1995, 1998, 2005):

Highest
Threat Areas For 2010 Hurricane Season:

I suspect that we
will have our first tropical storm sometime in early June. The reason why is
that the first storm of the season formed in early June during 5 out of the 7
analog years. Also, with sea surface temperatures running above normal and
forecast lower than normal surface pressures; I strongly believe we will have
our first storm in early June, if not before then.
As for my
forecast numbers for this year:
16 Named Storms
9 Hurricanes
4 Major Hurricanes
The forecast
numbers are based on the idea that the Atlantic will remain warmer than normal
and that the current weakening El Nino will be neutral during the heart of the
hurricane season. The current Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential map is
displayed below and it shows plenty of heat potential already for the formation
and intensification of tropical storms and hurricanes.
Sea
Surface Temperature Map:

Tropical
Cyclone Heat Potential Map:

So, to sum it up,
I am looking at a hurricane season coming up that will be very active. I
expect neutral ENSO conditions throughout the heart of the hurricane season.
In addition, above average to much above average ocean temperatures and below
average sea level pressures point to an active to very active hurricane season
with the highest risk areas in eastern North Carolina and the outer banks of
North Carolina, south Florida and the northwest Bahamas, the central Gulf coast
(from Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle), the Leeward Islands and Virgin
Islands and finally the northwest Caribbean, including the Yucatan Peninsula,
western Cuba and the Cayman Islands.
This outlook
should be the catalyst to start purchasing supplies and putting your hurricane
kit together during May. Also, take a close look at your homeowners or
renters insurance and ensure that you are properly covered for damages or god
forbid total loss. Also, if you don't have flood insurance and live in a
hurricane zone, I strongly urge you to consider taking on flood
insurance. Your homeowners/renters insurance does not cover for floods
caused by storm surge or river flooding.
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